Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
617 FXUS64 KFWD 191818 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 118 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Prolonged dry and hot conditions are expected this week with temperatures in the mid 90s to low 100s. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 114 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 A shortwave rounding the periphery of the upper level low to our west will keep a very low end chance (10-15%) of isolated showers or storms in the forecast for areas north of I-20 this afternoon and evening. Otherwise, sunny skies prevail across North and Central Texas. Temperatures have begun their steady climb, with highs today expected in the mid-to-upper 90s across the region, and heat index values in the low 100s. Overnight lows are creeping up as well, with mid-to-upper 70s across much of North and Central Texas, with near- 80 for the Metroplex. Look for much the same conditions tomorrow, as high pressure more firmly settles into the Southern Plains. Highs will be in the upper-90s to low-100s, with heat index values in the low to mid 100s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 114 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 Hot and generally dry will be the theme of the remainder of the forecast period. Temperatures in the low-100s and heat index values of 105-110 will become widespread across North Texas as soon as Tuesday, with Heat Advisories becoming increasingly likely. For Central Texas, temperatures will be a few degrees cooler, with highs right around 100, and heat index values of 100-105. Unfortunately, even overnight temperatures will be steamy, with lows in upper-70s to low-80s. Precipitation chances are near-zero through the end of the forecast period, but that might change thanks to a new tropical system. Tropical Depression 2 has formed in the eastern Gulf, and may come into play for us here by the latter half of the week. Some of the mesoscale hurricane models indicate the system being caught in the easterly flow around the southern periphery of the high and being steered into the western Gulf. Meanwhile, global models keep it well to the east. Should this tropical moisture make it into the western Gulf, it would result in changes to temperature and precipitation forecasts for the end of the week and coming weekend. For now, uncertainty remains high, and this is a feature to keep a close watch on over the coming days. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 114 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. There is a very low (10-15%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm north of I-20 this afternoon and evening. Coverage will be too limited to warrant a thunder mention in the TAF. Otherwise, south winds at 7-14 knots are expected through the TAF period for all terminals. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 79 101 80 104 / 10 0 0 0 Waco 75 97 75 99 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 76 97 77 99 / 10 0 0 0 Denton 77 101 78 104 / 10 0 0 0 McKinney 78 99 79 103 / 10 0 0 0 Dallas 80 101 81 104 / 10 0 0 0 Terrell 76 98 77 101 / 10 0 0 0 Corsicana 76 98 77 100 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 73 96 73 97 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 73 99 74 101 / 10 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Bealo LONG TERM....Bealo AVIATION...Bealo