171
FXUS64 KFWD 032352
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
652 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...New Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures will persist into early next week with
  little chance for rainfall.

- A weak cold front may approach our region towards the middle of
  next week which could result in low rain chances (20%) by
  Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1117 AM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025/
/Through Saturday Night/

Overall, expect a fairly quiet weather day across North and
Central Texas as we remain wedged between an area of high pressure
in West Texas and a low spinning off the coast of Louisiana.
Temperatures today will climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s with
easterly to southeasterly winds.

With slightly better moisture across Central Texas, the passing
of a subtle ripple may lead to a few showers across Central Texas
this afternoon. Any precipitation that falls will be short-lived
and isolated.

Tomorrow`s temperatures will be 1-2 degrees cooler compared to
today with no precipitation expected. Winds will remain out of the
east/southeast between 5-10 mph with gusts closer to 15 mph.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 1117 AM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025/
/Sunday Onward/

The aforementioned area of low pressure off the coast of
Louisiana will be absorbed into the main westerly flow on Sunday.
This will allow for the area of high pressure currently in the
Southeastern US to expand to the west. As the high expands,
troughing will increase across the western US and slowly advance
eastward the first half of next week. There continues to be a
potential for a cold front to push southward across our region on
Tuesday which may lead to a few showers and storms. The latest
guidance continues to keep rain chances at around 20% for much of
the region. The low rain chances will continue into Wednesday as a
weak disturbance moves overhead. Similarly, rain chance will
remain capped at 20% with coverage expected to be low.

With slightly higher cloud cover during the middle of the week,
expect afternoon highs to be in the mid 80s with overnight
temperatures in the 60s.

Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period with just a
few/sct clouds around 6-7k ft. Light easterly winds this evening
will become more southeasterly on Saturday with speeds up to 10
knots.

Shamburger

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    68  89  68  89  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                65  89  66  89  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               60  86  63  88  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              63  88  64  89  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            63  88  64  89  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              68  89  68  91  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             61  88  64  89  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           65  89  67  90  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              64  89  64  89  65 /   0   0   0   5   0
Mineral Wells       64  89  63  90  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$