Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
058 FXUS64 KFWD 201045 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 545 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025 ...New Aviation, Short Term... .KEY MESSAGES... - Hot, but near seasonal, temperatures will prevail through next week with highs in the upper 90s to 100 each afternoon. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ Update: Mid level cloud cover has increased a bit overnight, particularly across Central TX in association with our slow moving upper low. As a result, we`ve increased cloud cover through midday and lowered high temperatures 1-2 degrees throughout Central TX. Some light radar returns are also noted, but this activity is well above the surface and wouldn`t expect much more than a few sprinkles. No other changes needed at this time. Dunn Previous Discussion: /Overnight through Monday/ Mostly clear skies and warm conditions will continue overnight with south winds around 10 mph. Temperatures will fall through the lower 80s and into the upper 70s by morning. The influence of an expanding upper ridge will continue to be felt into the upcoming week as high temperatures nudge upward a degree or so Sunday and again Monday. Highs will top out in the upper 90s both afternoons with heat index values between 102-105 degrees. Afternoon mixing and breezy southerly winds will offset some of the heat keeping heat indices in check a bit and making for a seasonal hot upcoming week. The weak mid level tropical disturbance continues to slowly spin off to our southwest. This feature will be slow to become absorbed into the mean flow and may result in some isolated convection this afternoon and again Monday mainly to our west and southwest. Similar to the last couple of days, we can`t rule out an isolated shower in our southern counties, but rain chances will generally be less than 10%. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /Issued 1158 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025/ /Monday Night through Saturday/ Mid level ridging will dominate the southern CONUS through the upcoming week resulting in seasonably hot temperatures and humidity. Afternoon highs will top out in the upper 90s to near 100 each afternoon with heat indices between 100-105 degrees. Outside of some very low rain chances late in the week across our southeast counties, most areas will remain dry. Dunn && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /12Z TAFs/ VFR will prevail throughout the period with the exception of some MVFR cigs across parts of Central TX which may intermittently impact Waco this morning. Otherwise, a blanket of BKN/OVC high clouds associated with a mid level low will persist through mid day again mainly south and east of the D10 airspace. While some light radar reflectivity echoes are noted with these clouds, rain chances will continue to be quite low. South winds will become gusty this afternoon and persist through tonight. Dunn && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 96 77 97 77 97 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 94 75 95 74 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 95 75 95 74 95 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 97 77 99 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 96 77 97 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 97 77 98 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 94 74 96 74 95 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 95 76 97 75 96 / 5 0 0 0 0 Temple 94 74 96 73 95 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 96 75 99 73 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$