Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
612 FXUS64 KFWD 040632 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1232 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Another strong cold front arrives tonight with tomorrow being cool and cloudy. - Occasional light rain, drizzle and patchy fog is expected across portions of the area tonight and much of the day Thursday. - Near-normal temperatures and mostly sunny conditions return Friday and continue through the weekend into early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday) Issued at 1226 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Occasional light rain, patchy drizzle, and patchy fog will continue across the region for the remainder of the night, with drizzle/light rain expected to expand in coverage as we get closer to daybreak. Dense fog has been very isolated, so we`ll continue to hold off on a Dense Fog Advisory and monitor trends through the remainder of the night. A strong cold front will continue moving southward, with northerly winds becoming breezy over the next several hours. While temperatures may get relatively close to the 32 degree mark in western North Texas, they should stay comfortably above freezing, keeping a cold rain or drizzle as the predominant precipitation type. Persistent isentropic ascent over the shallow, cold, post-frontal airmass will allow rain and patchy drizzle to continue through much of the day. The cold air combined with overcast skies will make for a rather chilly and dreary day, with high temperatures remaining in the 40s areawide. Any ongoing rain/drizzle this afternoon will gradually end from west to east as drier air finally filters into the region. Low clouds will persist into the evening, likely not clearing out for most areas until after sunset. However, dense cirrus will keep skies cloudy through most of the period. A light freeze is expected across much of North Texas Thursday night into Friday morning, with the exception of the DFW Metroplex. Overnight lows will range from the upper 20s near the Red River to upper 30s in the Brazos Valley. Light southerly winds will return on Friday, with cloud cover sticking around for much of the day, especially across Central and East Texas. This will result in a decent west to east temperature spread Friday afternoon, with highs in the upper 40s/low 50s in Central and East Texas and in the upper 50s/low 60s across our western zones. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1226 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 A bit of a temperature rollercoaster is expected this weekend through mid to late next week, but rain chances will remain near zero. Sunny skies will return on Saturday, with a brief warm up expected as high temperatures climb into the upper 50s to upper 60s. A few locations in western North and Central Texas could even see highs in the low 70s. This warm up will be short-lived, as another cold front will move through the region Saturday night. A dry frontal passage is expected with the weekend front, as moisture will not have sufficiently recovered. Cooler temperatures in the 50s to low 60s are expected both Sunday and Monday behind the front with low temperatures in the mid 20s to low 30s likely for much of the area Monday morning. Temperatures will moderate from Tuesday onward, with afternoon highs returning to the 60s and low 70s by the middle of next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Widespread IFR/LIFR ceilings are being observed across the region, with occasional drizzle, light rain, and patchy fog reducing visibilities at times. Winds will strengthen over the next few hours to around 15 knots with gusts up to 20-25 knots. This should help prevent visibilities from dropping as low as we`ve seen the past few hours, but occasional light rain and drizzle will continue near the terminals through mid to late morning. IFR ceilings are expected to lift to MVFR at our North Texas terminals within the next few hours, but the exact timing remains a bit uncertain. IFR ceilings will take longer to improve at KACT and likely won`t lift to MVFR until mid morning. MVFR ceilings will prevail through much of the afternoon, with VFR conditions likely not returning until early this evening. We will have to monitor for MVFR/IFR ceilings to redevelop Thursday night into Friday morning, but ceilings are currently expected to remain east of the terminals. North winds between 10-15 knots will prevail through most of the afternoon, decreasing below 10 knots this evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 62 40 43 34 / 0 10 30 10 Waco 54 44 47 37 / 0 30 50 10 Paris 39 38 42 32 / 0 10 30 10 Denton 62 35 42 28 / 0 10 30 0 McKinney 56 38 42 32 / 0 10 30 10 Dallas 60 42 44 35 / 0 10 40 10 Terrell 50 42 46 34 / 0 20 50 10 Corsicana 48 44 47 38 / 0 50 60 10 Temple 57 45 47 37 / 10 30 50 10 Mineral Wells 67 37 43 29 / 0 10 40 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Barnes LONG TERM....Barnes AVIATION...Barnes