Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
415 FXUS64 KFWD 020619 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1219 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Sub-freezing temperatures with wind chills in the 20s are expected overnight tonight into Tuesday morning. - Brief warming is expected mid-week before another cold front brings cooler air and scattered rain chances to the region late Wednesday through Friday. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1029 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 A chilly night is unfolding as another push of colder and drier air is filtering into the region. A few locations near/west of the I-35 corridor have already fallen below freezing as of midnight, with temperatures expected to fall below freezing areawide through the remainder of the night. Low temperatures will bottom out in the mid 20s to low 30s. Following a dreary Monday, the last of the cloud cover will continue to gradually move off to the east through the remainder of the night, with a rather sunny day on tap for Tuesday. Despite the clear skies, chilly weather will persist for another day with afternoon highs mostly ranging from the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southerly winds will return to the region Tuesday afternoon and will strengthen Tuesday night into Wednesday as a surface low and its attendant cold front approach from the north/northwest. Strengthening low-level winds will allow moisture to begin to return to the area on Wednesday, with an increase in cloud cover expected throughout the day. Temperatures will briefly rebound into the upper 50s and 60s Wednesday afternoon, but this warming trend will be cut short by another strong cold front that will arrive to portions of the area Wednesday afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1029 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 The aforementioned cold front will continue moving south through the forecast area Wednesday evening. Sufficient moisture return across Central Texas will allow some low rain chances to return Wednesday evening/night with the arrival of the cold front. Much colder air (similar to what we saw early this week) will filter into the region behind the front Wednesday night into Thursday. Sub-freezing temperatures are expected for portions of North Texas Thursday morning, with afternoon highs only in the 40s for most locations Thursday afternoon. Moisture will not be scoured from the region behind the front, which will allow scattered rain showers to continue on Thursday as a shortwave trough moves across the area. There could be a very brief window for a wintry mix across western North Texas/the Big Country early Thursday morning. However, this will depend on whether enough moisture will be present for precipitation to occur when/where temperatures are below freezing. It`s quite likely the timing and location of any precipitation will not overlap with sub-freezing temperatures, but we will continue to monitor the potential as we get within range of hi-res guidance. Rain chances will linger across Central Texas into Friday, with no rain chances forecast late Friday through the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will moderate Friday into Saturday, with highs returning to the 60s for most locations Saturday afternoon. Another cold front is slated to arrive on Sunday, but is not anticipated to be nearly as strong as the cold fronts earlier in the week. This front will likely only shave a few degrees off of temperatures Sunday and Monday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1029 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025 The last of the MVFR stratus continues to erode/move east, with VFR conditions expected at all terminals through the end of the period. Northwest winds will continue tonight through Thursday morning, remaining below 10 knots. Southeast winds will return this afternoon but will only be around 5-7 knots or less through Tuesday evening. Wind speeds are expected to increase to 9-12 knots Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 39 30 52 39 / 20 0 0 0 Waco 42 30 52 38 / 30 0 0 0 Paris 35 26 47 31 / 40 0 0 0 Denton 37 24 51 35 / 20 0 0 0 McKinney 37 26 50 35 / 20 0 0 0 Dallas 39 31 51 39 / 20 0 0 0 Terrell 39 27 50 35 / 30 0 0 0 Corsicana 41 32 52 39 / 40 0 0 0 Temple 43 30 55 37 / 20 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 42 26 57 38 / 10 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Barnes LONG TERM....Barnes AVIATION...Barnes