Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
067 FXUS64 KFWD 251045 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 545 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry weather will continue the rest of the workweek and weekend, with hot and humid conditions continuing into early next week. - Afternoon heat index values could reach or exceed 105 degrees at times this weekend into early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 215 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026 The last of the more active northwest-flow pattern should stay north of the area early this morning, with any ongoing storm complexes across Oklahoma expected to remain north of the Red River. A stray shower or storm cant be completely ruled out near the Red River if this activity builds farther south, but most of North and Central Texas will remain dry as upper ridging expands eastward into the Southern Plains. Highs today will climb into the low to mid 90s areawide, which is near to slightly above normal for late June. Slightly lower humidity should keep heat index values mostly in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees. Low-level southerly flow will continue tonight into Friday morning, maintaining warm and humid conditions with limited overnight relief, especially in urban areas and locations where winds stay elevated. This will set the stage for more meaningful heat concerns Friday and beyond as temperatures continue to rise and dewpoints remain in the 60s and 70s. The heat will not be record-setting, but it will become increasingly noticeable heading into the weekend. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 215 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026 Upper ridging will remain the dominant influence through the weekend into early next week, keeping North and Central Texas mostly dry, hot, and humid. Highs will increase from the mid and upper 90s Friday to the upper 90s and lower 100s this weekend into early next week. This would put parts of the region near their first 100-degree day of the year, which climatologically tends to occur during the first few days of July. Afternoon heat index values will likely peak near 105 degrees at times, but the most favored areas may vary each day based on mixing depth and moisture pooling. This will make heat headlines more of a daily evaluation rather than a slam-dunk prolonged advisory for the entire area. Breezy southerly winds Friday through Monday, with gusts to around 30 to 35 mph at times, may make the heat feel a little less stagnant during the afternoon, but they will also help keep overnight temperatures elevated by maintaining mixing and moisture transport. By early next week, the ridge may shift farther east while a western U.S. trough deepens, but confidence in any meaningful rain chances remains low through the period. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 538 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026 VFR will continue through the TAF period with only passing high clouds expected. Southerly winds will be the main operational concern today, with speeds increasing after mid-morning as mixing occurs. Gusts to near 25 kt will become common this afternoon then should taper this evening. Sustained south winds will remain around 15 kt overnight into Friday with occasional higher gusts as the surface pressure gradient stays tight. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1233 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 96 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 93 75 94 76 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 91 75 91 77 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 94 77 95 78 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 92 76 94 78 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 94 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 93 75 94 77 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 93 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 94 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 95 76 96 77 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...12 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...12