Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
644 FXUS64 KFWD 172308 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 608 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 ...New Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected across portions of Southeast Texas and the Brazos Valley Friday and Saturday. - For many, the upcoming weekend and next week will be the hottest of the summer so far, with highs in the mid to upper 90s and heat index values ranging from 95 to 107. && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 210 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025/ /Through Friday Night/ Quiet and seasonably hot weather will continue across the region the rest of the day. An upper level ridge will remain in control of the pattern keeping most of our region precipitation free through tomorrow night. The only exception will be areas across the Brazos Valley where there is a slight chance for rain tomorrow. A weak tropical disturbance near the TX/LA coast will continue move inland and may send some of this activity into our far southern zones tomorrow. Most of our locations will likely stay precipitation free, but a few isolated showers/storms may clip some of our counties. The main hazard with this activity will be brief moderate rain and occasional lightning. No severe weather or flooding is expected. Otherwise, hot and humid conditions will continue on Friday with highs mainly in the mid to upper 90s and heat indices between 96 and 105. Sanchez && .LONG TERM... /Issued 210 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025/ /Weekend and Next Week/ The long term forecast remains in good shape as the main story will be the hot and humid conditions. The mid-to-upper level ridging pattern will continue to influence much of the southern Plains keeping the area rain-free but the good news is that it doesn`t appear we will have extreme temperatures either. Daytime highs for North Texas will likely stay in the upper 90s with only a few spots touching the triple digit mark. At this time, we`re not expecting widespread 100 degrees or heat indices above 105 degrees. For Central Texas, highs will stay in the low to mid 90s with similar heat indices. Looking towards the late week period, heat indices of 105 or higher may increase in coverage and become more common. While this should be typical for July, we should always review heat safety precautions. Take frequent brakes from the sun in the shade or indoors with A/C and stay hydrated. Sanchez && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR conditions will continue this TAF period with scattered cirrus, dry conditions, and south winds up to 12 knots. Some low level cumulus is possible on Friday at airports, but subsidence from the upper level ridge of high pressure should keep any low level cloud cover isolated. Shamburger && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 76 98 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 72 95 74 92 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 73 94 74 94 75 / 0 0 0 5 0 Denton 73 98 74 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 73 98 75 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 76 98 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 73 98 74 95 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 74 96 76 94 77 / 0 5 5 5 0 Temple 71 95 74 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 71 99 72 98 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$