164
FNUS75 KFGZ 132249
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Washington Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
349 PM MST Wed Aug 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are possible anytime before midnight
tonight, today`s storms have been showing a dry subcloud layer so
dry lightning and erratic winds have been the main threat.
Otherwise mostly clear and dry overnight. Showers and
thunderstorms reform again after noon on Thursday. Storms are
expected to be more widespread and produce better chances for
wetting or heavy rains. The best chance of thunderstorms is
between 12pm and 6pm. A slight chance for showers and
thunderstorms remains during the overnight hours Thursday night
into Friday morning. More thunderstorms are expected during the
day Friday, especially between noon and 6pm.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms in the evening. Areas of smoke
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....59-62.
Max humidity........58-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Showers likely through the day.
                    Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....87-90.
Min humidity........22-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5-10 mph, becoming west 5-10 mph after 1-2pm.
                    Gusty and erratic expected near any
                    thunderstorms throughout the day.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12500
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to
                    2100 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the south in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northwest late in the
                    afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of
                    rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....57-59.
Max humidity........77-79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    southwest 5 mph after midnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the southwest 0
                    to 5 knots overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....82-85.
Min humidity........32-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 11000
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.4236&lon=-111.2997&clat=34.4236&clon=-111.2997

$$
Forecaster...BERNHART
Requested by...Tom Stevens
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519848.0/FGZ
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.stevens@usda.gov