Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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534
FNUS75 KFGZ 041517
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Blue Stem...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
817 AM MST Fri Oct 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry conditions are expected the next couple
of days along with mainly light winds. Low afternoon RH is
expected with decent overnight recovery.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....81 to 84 degrees.
Min humidity........7 to 10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast 5 to 10 mph, gusting up to 15 mph
                    in the afternoon. Winds may become variable or shift
                    to the west after 2 PM.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL early in the morning increasing to
                    15200 ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....45 to 50 degrees.
Max humidity........45 to 50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....78 to 82 degrees.
Min humidity........11 to 14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph, gusting up to 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13500
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.


A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=35.873&lon=-111.878&clat=35.873&clon=-111.878

$$
Forecaster...JOHNDROW
Requested by...Jordan Keller
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423485.2/FGZ
.DELDT 10/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jordan.keller@usda.gov