085
FNUS75 KFGZ 202056
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Pocket Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
156 PM MST Mon Jul 20 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on July 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...An active monsoon pattern will continue to bring good chances
for showers and thunderstorms each day. Storm motion on Tuesday will be from
east to west. The primary hazard from storms will be flash flooding due to
periods of heavy rainfall, and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the area
from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening. There is a risk of large hail
as well. In addition, thunderstorm outflow wind speeds between 30-40 mph are
possible in the vicinity of storms. Outside of storm activity, winds will be
light.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny in the morning with a 10% chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms. After 1200, mostly
                    cloudy with a 70% chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 70 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-78 at the top of the rim. 83-87 at the lower elevations.
Min humidity........53-57 at the top of the rim. 44-48 at the lower elevations.
Wind (20 ft)........Light, terrain driven winds until 1100. After 1100,
                    southwest 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Fair.
Clearing Index......302.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 knots early in the
                    afternoon, then shifting to the northwest late
                    in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening. After midnight,
                    mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance lightning....50 percent decreasing to 20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....54-62.
Max humidity........87-96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light, terrain driven winds. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 0 to 5 knots.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny in the morning with a 10% chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms. After 1200, mostly
                    cloudy with a 60% chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-78 at the top of the rim. 83-87 at the lower elevations.
Min humidity........53-57 at the top of the rim. 46-50 at the lower elevations.
Wind (20 ft)........Light, terrain driven winds until 1100. After 1100,
                    southwest 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Fair.
Clearing Index......375.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the south
                    late in the afternoon.


A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.9935&lon=-111.8547&clat=34.9935&clon=-111.8547

$$
Forecaster...RICKEY
Requested by...Mark Goshorn
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617819.0/FGZ
.DELDT 07/20/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.goshorn@usda.gov,katie_brown@firenet.gov,rilee_nilsson@usda.gov