110
FNUS75 KFGZ 181323
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for LDR...Camp Navajo Fire
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
623 AM MST Fri Oct 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms
to the burn site through 0900. There will still be a chance for
rain/snow showers after that through Saturday. There will be a
chance for thunderstorms through this evening. A wind shift will
follow the front this afternoon, with winds turning westerly and
northwesterly this evening...then easterly by Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms this morning. Chance of
                    thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers and
                    snow showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....41 to 44.
Min humidity........60 to 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 MPH. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......603.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots becoming west around
                    10 knots in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Snow showers likely through the night.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....23 to 26.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 MPH shifting to the
                    northeast overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......5.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the east
                    after 3 am.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance for rain and snow showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....43 to 46.
Min humidity........50 to 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......801.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 knots increasing to around
                    20 knots early in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to around 10 knots late in the
                    afternoon.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=35.1976&lon=-111.7957&clat=35.1976&clon=-111.7957

$$
Forecaster...STUBBLEFIELD
Requested by...Tim Irwin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2424218.3/FGZ
.DELDT 10/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.irwin@azdema.gov