786
FNUS75 KFGZ 300112
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Draw Incident...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
612 PM MST Tue Jul 29 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on July 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms.
Activity on Wednesday looks to be similar to Tuesday. Storms will
likely remain more scattered, with just slightly higher coverage.
Scattered to numerous storms and better chance for wetting rains
is expected on Thursday. The primary hazards each day will be
cloud-to-ground lightning and gusty/erratic winds near storms.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....45 to 50.
Max humidity........80 to 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 4 to 8 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds near thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......12.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 knots.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....78 to 81.
Min humidity........19 to 21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 4 to 8 mph through 1200 MST,
                    then southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......767.
Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy skies then clearing.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....48 to 51.
Max humidity........70 to 75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 3 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......12.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 0 to 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    after 3 am.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Afternoon showers and thunderstorms
                    likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....76 to 79.
Min humidity........24 to 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 3 to 6 mph becoming southwest 5
                    to 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......661.
Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12700
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the south
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon.

A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.
The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only
and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official
National Weather Service SPOT forecast.
https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=33.8114&lon=-109.4281&clat=33.8114&clon=-109.4281

$$
Forecaster...LEWANDOWSKI
Requested by...Lopez
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518650.3/FGZ
.DELDT 07/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL chris_lopez@firenet.gov