Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
734
FNUS55 KFGZ 150848
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Thursday and Friday...A warming trend is expected
between today and Friday, although daytime highs are forecast to
land near to below normal. Dry conditions will continue with minimum
RH values mostly below 15%. Look for westerly winds 5-15 mph this
afternoon, becoming more southwest on Friday.
Saturday through Monday...Cooler temperatures and windier conditions
expected through the beginning of next week. Potential for rain/snow
showers on Sunday and Monday as well. Prior to the precipitation,
near-critical fire weather conditions possible on Saturday.
Southwest winds 15-25 mph gusting between 35-45 mph on Saturday and
Sunday, becoming lighter westerly winds on Monday.
AZZ115-160115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to west
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....26-36.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........42-62 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 15 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 63 to 73. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 53 to 63. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 50 to 60. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph shifting to the west with gusts up to 25 mph
in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-160115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-79 at the River...59-69 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent at the River...14 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots increasing to around 15
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....42-52 at the River...29-39 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........29-39 percent at the River...31-51 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....78-85 at the River...64-74 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........10 percent at the River...13 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Highs 77 to 87. South winds
10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20 to 25 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 74. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 74. Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest.
$$
AZZ108-160115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 69 below 5000 feet...around 65 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....40-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 73 below 5000 feet...around 68 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 66 to 76. South winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 57 to
67. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 57 to
66. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west with gusts
up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-160115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....74-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....41-51.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....77-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds becoming
south around 10 mph in the morning, then increasing to 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Highs 67 to 77.
South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph increasing to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 68 to
78. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-160115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....67-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....44-54 below 5000 feet...38-48 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........24-34 percent below 5000 feet...31-41 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....71-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 69 to 79. Light winds becoming
south around 10 mph in the morning, then increasing to 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 59 to 69. South
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ105-160115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025 /248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....68-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....44-54.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........26-36 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....74-82.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 75 to 85. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 62 to 72. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 61 to 71. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ104-160115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-73 below 7000 feet...53-63 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent below 7000 feet...17 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....37-46 below 7000 feet...28-37 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32-42 percent below 7000 feet...35-55 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....68-78 below 7000 feet...59-68 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........12 percent below 7000 feet...15 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 67 to 77. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 53 to 63. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 55 to 65. West winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ107-160115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025 /248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-72 on the Plateau...75-83 at the River.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........12 percent on the Plateau...9 percent at the
River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....28-38 on the Plateau...42-52 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........42-62 percent on the Plateau...27-37 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....68-76 on the Plateau...80-87 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Highs 68 to 77. South winds
10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts up
to 35 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 57 to 65.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 55 to 65. West winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-160115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....65-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....38-48.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 71 to 79. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 67. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 56 to 63. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-160115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025 /248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph becoming northwest 10 to 20
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-80.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 71 to 79. Light winds becoming
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 70. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 56 to 64. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-160115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....65-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....37-46.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....72-79.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 71 to 79. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 62 to 70. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 56 to 65. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-160115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025 /248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 knots increasing to around 20
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....32-41.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........26-46 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 30 to 40 mph becoming northwest 20 to 30
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....65-75.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 65 to 75. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 51 to 61. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ139-160115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025 /248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....60-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....38-46.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 25 to 35 mph becoming northwest 15 to 25
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-74.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 67 to 74. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 64. South
winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 25 mph. Gusts
up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 52 to 58. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ112-160115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025 /248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....70-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to west 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....38-43.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph becoming northwest 10 to 20
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-83.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds becoming
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of
showers. Highs 62 to 72. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts
up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 67. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ113-160115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025 /248 AM MDT Thu May 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....70-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to west
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........38 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....75-81.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 73 to 80. Light winds becoming
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Slight
chance of showers. Highs 64 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 66. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-160115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of smoke after midnight.
Min temperature.....36-41.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....72-79.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 71 to 79. Light winds becoming
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Highs 63 to
71. South winds around 10 mph increasing to southwest 20 to
30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 64. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 30 mph.
$$
AZZ116-160115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....66-73 below 5000 feet...60-70 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....35-43.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....70-78 below 5000 feet...65-75 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 74. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Highs 56 to 66.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 51 to 61. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-160115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke in the morning.
Max temperature.....62-72 below 7000 feet...57-67 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots increasing to around 15
knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of smoke after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 39 below 7000 feet...29-37 above 7000
feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32 percent below 5000 feet...36 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....67-77 below 7000 feet...62-72 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to around
15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 65 to 75. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers, thunderstorms
and snow showers. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ118-160115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
148 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....71-81 below 5000 feet...64-74 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....42-52 below 5000 feet...39-49 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........24-34 percent below 5000 feet...30-40 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....75-85 below 5000 feet...69-79 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 74. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 61 to 71. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY 20 - 24, 2025...
Above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$