Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
678
FNUS55 KFGZ 130740
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Thursday...Cooler, with increasing chances
for showers and thunderstorms each day. Gusty outflow winds will be
the primary hazard today, with better chances for wetting rain on
Thursday. Otherwise, cooling temperatures with west/southwest winds
10-15 mph each day.
Friday through Sunday...Scattered to numerous showers thunderstorms
and thunderstorms on Friday, with coverage decreasing each day
through the weekend. Wetting rains will be possible on Friday.
Daytime winds west/southwest around 10-20 mph. Gusty and erratic
outflow winds possible in and around thunderstorms.
AZZ115-140115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....45-55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........70-90 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 15 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then rain showers likely and
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and chance of
showers. Highs 74 to 84. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 75 to 85. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-140115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
through the day. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Areas of smoke
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....99-109 at the River...85-95 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent at the River...12 percent at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 14500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....68-76 at the River...55-65 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........37-57 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely through the day. Chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....96-106 at the River...81-91 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent at the River...17 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 97. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-140115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91 below 5000 feet...around 87 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....57-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........49-69 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely through the day. Chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 88 below 5000 feet...around 84 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 90. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
south with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ137-140115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....96-106.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....60-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........44-64 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain
showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-103.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 99. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ138-140115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers through the day.
Slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-101 below 5000 feet...89-99 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph shifting to the west 5
to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....62-70 below 5000 feet...58-68 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........34-54 percent below 5000 feet...39-59 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely through the day. Chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....87-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
83 to 93. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-140115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025 /140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....97-106.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....93-102.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 88 to 97. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 98. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ104-140115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-100 below 7000 feet...82-91 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent below 7000 feet...13 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....59-69 below 7000 feet...52-62 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-50 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely through the day. Chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-96 below 7000 feet...78-87 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent below 7000 feet...14-19 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 79 to 89. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 79 to 89. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ107-140115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025 /140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers through the day.
Slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-96 on the Plateau...99-109 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent on the Plateau...10 percent at the
River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....52-62 on the Plateau...66-76 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent on the Plateau...33-43 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the evening.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely through the day. Chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-93 on the Plateau...96-106 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent on the Plateau...12 percent at the
River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ109-140115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....92-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke.
Min temperature.....60-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Northwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....89-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 88. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 92. Light winds.
$$
AZZ140-140115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025 /140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....93-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....60-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........28-48 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph
in the evening becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....89-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 88. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 89. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 91. Light winds.
$$
AZZ110-140115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke in the morning.
Max temperature.....92-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....56-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32-52 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....89-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph shifting to the west 5
to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 89. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 91. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 93. Light winds.
$$
AZZ111-140115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025 /140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....53-63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........34-54 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 30
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds becoming west 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 88. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds.
$$
AZZ139-140115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025 /140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke.
Min temperature.....60-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph becoming west 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 84. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 86. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 87. Light winds.
$$
AZZ112-140115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025 /140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-102.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and dry
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....62-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-50 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely through the day.
Chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 90. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds.
$$
AZZ113-140115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025 /140 AM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers and
dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....64-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........29-49 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers through the
day. Chance of dry thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 89. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 91. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 93. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-140115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....87-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........28-48 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers through the day. Chance of
dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 10 to 20 mph shifting to the south 5 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and slight chance
of showers. Highs 78 to 87. Light winds becoming west 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 79 to 88. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 81 to 89. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-140115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and dry thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....54-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent below 5000 feet...46-66 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph becoming northwest 5 to 10
mph after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-92 below 5000 feet...80-90 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and chance of
showers. Highs 76 to 85. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 76 to 85. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 87. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-140115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-91 below 7000 feet...76-86 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL decreasing to 2800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the southeast
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and dry thunderstorms in the evening. Areas of
smoke after midnight.
Min temperature.....60-67 below 7000 feet...52-62 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........37-57 percent below 7000 feet...43-63 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
15 mph after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers and chance of dry thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-88 below 7000 feet...73-83 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms and chance of showers.
Highs 73 to 83. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs
73 to 83. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 74 to
84. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-140115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
1240 AM MST Wed Aug 13 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-103 below 5000 feet...87-96 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent below 5000 feet...18-23 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....62-72 below 5000 feet...55-65 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........42-62 percent below 5000 feet...53-73 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....90-100 below 5000 feet...84-93 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
86 to 96. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 18 - 22 2025...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$