Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
363
FNUS55 KFGZ 090826
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Friday...Widespread wetting rains, with
the highest accumulations expected in Yavapai and Coconino counties.
A Flood Watch will be in effect for most of northern Arizona through
the period. Isolated strong thunderstorms also possible. Winds south
through southeast 5-15 mph each day, but gusty and erratic winds can
be expected near showers/thunderstorms.
Saturday through Monday...The Flood Watch continues Saturday, with
more widespread showers and thunderstorms. Storm coverage becomes
isolated to scattered on Sunday and Monday. Daytime winds southwest
10-15 mph with gusts near 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds can be
expected near showers/thunderstorms.
AZZ115-100130-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-71.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog. Rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....46-56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....58-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Marginal.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
59 to 69. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers. Highs 59 to 69. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-100130-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-83 at the River...62-72 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31-41 percent at the River...44-54 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....62-68 at the River...51-61 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........75-95 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning,
then rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-76 at the River...56-66 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent at the River...65-75 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 knots shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 67 to 77. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 68 to 78. West winds 10 to 15 mph
early in the morning becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 69 to 79. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ108-100130-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 71 below 5000 feet...around 68 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....50-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72 below 5000 feet...around 69 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Poor.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 63 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers. Highs 64 to 72. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 61 to 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-100130-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-87.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....54-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain
showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
71 to 81. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Patchy fog. Slight chance of showers. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds
becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 78. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ138-100130-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-77 below 5000 feet...66-75 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent below 5000 feet...44-54 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....51-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-73 below 5000 feet...62-72 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........56-66 percent below 5000 feet...59-69 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
62 to 72. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Showers likely. Highs 64 to 74. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 61 to
71. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
$$
AZZ105-100130-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Chance
of rain showers through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-79.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....58-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........78-98 percent.
24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-72.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 68 to 75. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 66 to 74. West winds 10 to 15 mph
early in the morning becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 68 to 76. Light winds becoming
south 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ104-100130-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
morning, then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79 below 7000 feet...59-68 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31-41 percent below 7000 feet...44-54 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....54-60 below 7000 feet...48-55 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....62-72 below 7000 feet...55-63 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent below 7000 feet...66-76 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 62 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 59 to 69. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph early in the morning.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 62 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-100130-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-75 on the Plateau...78-88 at the River.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent on the Plateau...28-38 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....54-59 on the Plateau...61-68 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...70-90 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....61-69 on the Plateau...73-83 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........60-70 percent on the Plateau...44-54 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 63 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 63 to 72. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-100130-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-75.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....53-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....61-68.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 64 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing. Highs
62 to 70. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early
in the morning.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-100130-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....65-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 66 to 73. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 71.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-100130-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and
slight chance of rain showers in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Rain showers likely through the night. Slight
chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Patchy
fog after midnight.
Min temperature.....53-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain
showers likely through the day. Chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-69.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 65 to 71. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 64 to
70. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-100130-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-74.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....49-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 58 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-100130-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-72.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Rain showers through the night. Slight chance
of thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....58-67.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
60 to 68. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing
to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers. Highs 59 to 66. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 30 mph decreasing to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 66. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ112-100130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-78.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Rain showers after midnight. Patchy fog
after midnight.
Min temperature.....54-61.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain showers
likely in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-71.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 69 to 76. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing.
Chance of showers. Highs 68 to 75. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 75. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ113-100130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025 /226 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....51-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......Less than 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Poor.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 69 to 76. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 30 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 67 to 73. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 65 to 72. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-100130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-75.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Slight chance of rain showers after
midnight.
Min temperature.....50-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........78-98 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the morning,
then chance of rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 73. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
65 to 71. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
$$
AZZ116-100130-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
morning. Chance of rain showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-75 below 5000 feet...64-71 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog through the night.
Rain showers likely in the evening. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the night.
Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....48-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph
after midnight.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79 below 5000 feet...65-74 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent below 5000 feet...46-56 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
59 to 69. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 59 to 68. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 65. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-100130-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-75 below 7000 feet...59-69 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........40-50 percent below 7000 feet...44-54 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
through the night.
Min temperature.....50-57 below 7000 feet...43-52 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the morning,
then chance of rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-78 below 7000 feet...60-70 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........36-46 percent below 7000 feet...43-53 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 61 to 71. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 55 to 65. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ118-100130-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
126 AM MST Thu Oct 9 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83 below 5000 feet...67-77 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent below 5000 feet...41-51 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night.
Min temperature.....56-66 below 5000 feet...50-60 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent below 5000 feet...80-100 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 20 to 30 mph increasing to south 30
to 40 mph after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-87 below 5000 feet...71-81 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
68 to 78. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 76. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 74. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR OCT 14 - 18 2025...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$