Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
978
FNUS55 KFGZ 170830
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 7 PM MST /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE LITTLE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY...
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Sunday...Dry today with minimum RH values
mostly below 15%. Southwest winds increase to 15-25 mph gusting 30-
40 mph this afternoon, and will persist through the overnight hours
along the Mogollon Rim and White Mountains. A Red Flag Warning is in
effect today for the Little Colorado River Valley and White
Mountains. Breezy west-southwest winds continue Sunday, strongest in
eastern Arizona and a Red Flag Warning is in effect for the Little
Colorado River Valley in Apache County. Elsewhere, RH will trend
upward Sunday along with a chance of showers/thunderstorms over the
northern third of the state.
Monday through Wednesday...Cooler Monday with a chance of showers
mainly in northeast Arizona. West-northwest winds 15-25 mph, with
near-critical fire weather in eastern Arizona. Lighter winds, drier
conditions and turning much warmer Tuesday and Wednesday.
AZZ115-180115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....64-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds around 10 mph with gusts up
to 20 mph increasing to southwest 15 to 25 mph
with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to southwest
around 30 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....29-39.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up
to 35 mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....58-68.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........West 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers, thunderstorms
and snow showers. Highs 55 to 65. Southwest winds around 10 mph
shifting to the west 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 65 to 75. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 73 to 83. East winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-180115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-86 at the River...65-75 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20
mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots increasing to around
30 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the night.
Min temperature.....45-54 at the River...30-40 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent at the River...80-100 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning.
Max temperature.....70-78 at the River...56-66 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........17 percent at the River...20-25 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........West 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
64 to 74. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 77 to 87. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming east
around 10 mph in the morning, then shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-180115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 71 below 5000 feet...around 67 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20
mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to southwest
around 25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 49 below 5000 feet...around 45 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........59 percent below 5000 feet...63 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph becoming west 25 to 35
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 65 below 5000 feet...around 62 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 7900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 62 to 72. West winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 73 to 82. North winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 79 to 88. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-180115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph increasing to 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....45-55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........53-73 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph shifting to the
south around 10 mph after midnight.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....71-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 74 to 84. West winds 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 82 to 92. North winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 88 to 98. North winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-180115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....69-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....43-53 below 5000 feet...38-48 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent below 5000 feet...68-88 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 74. Light winds becoming west
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 74 to 84. North winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 81 to 91. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ105-180115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025 /230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....75-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....44-54.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........51-71 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....65-73.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........West 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 70. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 74 to 82. North winds 10 to 15 mph early
in the morning becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 82 to 90. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-180115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....69-79 below 7000 feet...59-69 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent below 7000 feet...16 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing
to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the night. Chance of snow
showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....38-47 below 7000 feet...29-37 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........69-89 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......42 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers, thunderstorms and snow
showers in the morning, then slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....59-69 below 7000 feet...49-58 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........18-23 percent below 7000 feet...26-36 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........West 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers, thunderstorms
and snow showers. Highs 58 to 68. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 70 to 80. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming east
around 10 mph in the morning, then shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ107-180115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025 /230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-74 on the Plateau...80-87 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to
the southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....34-43 on the Plateau...48-55 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........75-95 percent on the Plateau...47-67 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....60-68 on the Plateau...72-81 at the River.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........16-21 percent on the Plateau...14 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........West 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 59 to 69. West winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 71 to 81. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 79 to 89. East winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-180115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight.
Min temperature.....41-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........50-70 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....61-69.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........West 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 65. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 69 to 77. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 77 to 85. Light winds.
$$
AZZ140-180115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025 /230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 7 PM MST /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....42-48.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning. Patchy blowing
dust through the day.
Max temperature.....65-72.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........17 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph.
Free winds..........West 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 68. West winds around
10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 71 to 77. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 79 to 86. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph
early in the morning becoming light.
$$
AZZ110-180115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....72-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph increasing to 15
to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....43-51.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........34-54 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust in the
morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-70.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph.
Free winds..........West 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 56 to 63. West winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest
with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 68 to 75. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 77 to 84. Light winds becoming north
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-180115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025 /230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph increasing to 15
to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots increasing to around
25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....37-45.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........41-61 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning. Patchy blowing
dust through the day.
Max temperature.....56-66.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
up to 35 mph.
Free winds..........West 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 30 to 40 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers, thunderstorms and snow showers. Highs
52 to 62. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 64 to 74. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds becoming
northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-180115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025 /230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-75.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....41-48.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........51-71 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Patchy blowing dust through the day. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....57-66.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
up to 35 mph.
Free winds..........West 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers, thunderstorms and
snow showers. Highs 51 to 60. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts
up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 64 to 72. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 73 to 80. Light winds.
$$
AZZ112-180115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025 /230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 7 PM MST /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds around 10 mph increasing to
southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Patchy blowing dust in the evening.
Min temperature.....44-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........45-65 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust.
Max temperature.....66-75.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35
mph.
Free winds..........West 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Highs 64 to 71. West winds around
10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 74 to 81. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 82 to 89. Light winds.
$$
AZZ113-180115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025 /230 AM MDT Sat May 17 2025/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 7 PM MST /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20
mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots increasing to around
25 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Patchy blowing dust in the evening.
Min temperature.....44-49.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........39-59 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph increasing to 45 to 55
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust through the
day.
Max temperature.....67-74.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
up to 35 mph.
Free winds..........West 40 to 50 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 63 to 70. West winds
20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 74 to 79. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 82 to 87. Light winds becoming north
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-180115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MST
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke in the morning.
Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph increasing to 15
to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 44 below 7000 feet...around 41 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........29-49 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust.
Max temperature.....64-72.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........16 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
up to 40 mph.
Free winds..........West 40 to 50 mph decreasing to 25 to 35 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 60 to 67. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west 15 to 25 mph with gusts
up to 40 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 70 to 76. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 79 to 85. East winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-180115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....68-77 below 5000 feet...64-74 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20
mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....38-46.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........64-84 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 45 to 55 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-71 below 5000 feet...57-67 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........19-24 percent below 5000 feet...21-31 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........West 35 to 45 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 57 to 67. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts
up to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 69 to 79. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 75 to 85. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-180115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MST
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....67-76 below 7000 feet...59-69 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....40-45 below 7000 feet...32-41 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........38-58 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....61-71 below 7000 feet...55-65 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph becoming west 20 to 30
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
59 to 69. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 69 to 79. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 75 to 85. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ118-180115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
130 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....74-84 below 5000 feet...69-79 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....46-54 below 5000 feet...41-49 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........43-63 percent below 5000 feet...57-77 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....69-79 below 5000 feet...63-73 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........West 30 to 40 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 69 to 79. Light winds becoming west
15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Highs 78 to 88. North winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Highs 85 to 95. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY 22 - 26 2025...
Above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$