Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
275
FNUS55 KFGZ 160842
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Monday...Widespread rain showers move west
to east through the day today, with potentially a thunderstorms and
rain/snow mix in the higher elevations. Coverage becomes isolated on
Monday, mainly across the higher terrain. Wind southwest 10-20 mph
with gusts to 25-35 mph, decreasing to 5-15 mph on Monday.
Tuesday through Thursday...Scattered to widespread rain/snow showers
through Wednesday, becoming more isolated on Thursday. Winds south
10-20 mph on Tuesday, subsiding to 5-10 mph on Wednesday. Winds then
shift westerly on Thursday.
AZZ115-170115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day.
Max temperature.....43-53.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
24 hr trend......42 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 35 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and snow showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....24-34.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....42-52.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Showers, snow showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs 38 to 48. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 34 to
43. South winds 10 to 15 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Highs 36 to 46. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ106-170115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....56-66 at the River...42-52 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent at the River...59-69 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....39-45 at the River...27-37 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........69-89 percent at the River...80-100 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....55-65 at the River...41-51 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent at the River...53-63 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 48 to 58. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 45 to 55. South winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 46 to 56. Light winds.
$$
AZZ108-170115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....48-55.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph.
Free winds..........South 40 to 50 mph becoming southwest 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....33-42.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90 percent below 5000 feet...94 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 51 below 5000 feet...around 48 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 43 to 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 40 to 48. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph early in the morning
becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 42 to
51. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-170115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....56-66.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....36-46.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....57-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 49 to 59. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 48 to 58.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs 49 to 59. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-170115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....50-57 below 5000 feet...46-56 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
24 hr trend......42 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 45 to 55 mph becoming southwest and
decreasing to 35 to 45 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................90 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....37-43 below 5000 feet...32-42 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....47-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 43 to 53. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 40 to 50. Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
snow showers. Highs 42 to 52. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-170115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....52-62.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
evening.
Min temperature.....36-44.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........72-92 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....51-61.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Highs 47 to 56. Light
winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of snow showers. Highs 43 to 53. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 45 to 54. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-170115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms through the day. Snow showers
likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....48-55 below 7000 feet...41-49 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent below 7000 feet...65-75 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and snow
showers in the evening, then slight chance of
rain showers and snow showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....31-39 below 7000 feet...24-31 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....47-55 below 7000 feet...39-48 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........47-57 percent below 7000 feet...53-63 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and snow showers likely. Highs
41 to 51. Light winds becoming southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Highs 38 to 48. South winds around 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs 39 to 49. Light winds.
$$
AZZ107-170115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....47-53 on the Plateau...55-65 at the River.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent on the Plateau...43-53 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....30-36 on the Plateau...37-47 at the River.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent on the Plateau...74-94 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph becoming west 20 to 30
mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....47-53 on the Plateau...56-66 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........51-61 percent on the Plateau...38-48 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 43 to 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 39 to 48. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 41 to 50. Light winds becoming southwest around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-170115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....51-58.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph increasing to southwest 40
to 50 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....32-38.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....48-55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 45 to 53. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 41 to 47. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 41 to 48. Light winds.
$$
AZZ140-170115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....54-61.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 25
mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....49-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 49 to 55. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 42 to 48. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 42 to 49. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ110-170115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the morning.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....56-63.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 30 to 40 mph becoming southwest and
increasing to 45 to 55 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph becoming west 25 to 35
mph after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....49-55.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 49 to 55. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 43 to 49. South winds around 10 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 42 to 47. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ111-170115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....51-61.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph increasing to 40 to 50
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
around 30 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....30-36.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph becoming west 30 to 40
mph after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....43-53.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 20 to 30 mph becoming southwest 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 44 to 54. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 38 to 48. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs 36 to 46. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ139-170115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....50-56.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
24 hr trend......41 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up
to 35 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 45 to 55 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers and snow showers
in the evening.
Min temperature.....31-36.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....44-51.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 43 to 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Highs 38 to 43. South winds 10 to 15 mph early
in the morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Highs
37 to 43. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ112-170115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....52-62.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph becoming west 20 to 30
mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....52-59.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 48 to 56.
South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 43 to 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph early in the morning
becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Highs 45 to 52. Light winds becoming west
10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ113-170115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....55-62.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 25
mph with gusts up to 40 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 knots increasing to southwest
around 35 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph becoming west 25 to 35
mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....54-59.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 49 to 56.
South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 43 to 49.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 44 to 50. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ114-170115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....55-64.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent below 7000 feet...54-64 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to
the southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 36 below 7000 feet...around 33 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79-99 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........53 percent below 7000 feet...38-48 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 50 to 58.
South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 43 to 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 42 to 48. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ116-170115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain
showers in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....48-57 below 5000 feet...45-53 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-80 percent below 5000 feet...73-83 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......48 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 25
mph increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 45 to 55 mph becoming southwest and
decreasing to 35 to 45 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................90 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and snow showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 38 below 5000 feet...around 35 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95 percent below 5000 feet...99 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....49-57 below 5000 feet...44-54 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 40 to 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and snow showers likely.
Highs 35 to 45. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and showers.
Highs 37 to 47. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ117-170115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Patchy smoke in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-58 below 7000 feet...44-54 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-68 percent below 7000 feet...62-72 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......47 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers and snow showers
in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 35 below 7000 feet...25-33 above 7000
feet.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....49-57 below 7000 feet...43-53 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 43 to 53. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Snow showers, showers likely and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 36 to 46. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and showers.
Highs 36 to 46. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ118-170115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
142 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain
showers in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....53-63 below 5000 feet...49-59 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent below 5000 feet...60-70 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......44 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 40 to 50 mph becoming southwest 30 to 40
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................90 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the evening.
Min temperature.....38-47 below 5000 feet...33-42 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....54-64 below 5000 feet...50-59 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........47-57 percent below 5000 feet...43-53 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 47 to 57. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 42 to 52.
Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Highs 44 to 54. Light winds.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR NOV 21 - 25 2025...
Below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$