Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
752
FNUS55 KFGZ 160752
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Monday...Gradually turning warmer. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms each day, mainly over the higher terrain.
Coverage of storms increases over the White Mountains and eastern
Mogollon Rim on Monday. Outside of storms, winds are generally
light and variable at 10 mph or less.
Tuesday through Thursday...Continued warmer temperatures. Isolated
showers in the White Mountains on Tuesday, with coverage increasing
and spreading westward on Wednesday and Thursday. Outside of storms,
winds are generally southwest through west 5-10 mph each day.
AZZ115-170130-
Western Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....75-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....48-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........63-83 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....80-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-170130-
Grand Canyon Country-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Tusayan, Supai,
and Grand Canyon North Rim
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....89-99 at the River...75-85 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent at the River...23 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....65-74 at the River...54-64 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........33-53 percent at the River...37-57 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....94-104 at the River...79-89 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent at the River...21 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-170130-
Yavapai County Mountains-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 88 below 5000 feet...around 83 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 71 below 5000 feet...around 68 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 90 below 5000 feet...around 86 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 86 to 95. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-170130-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....92-102.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....62-72.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....95-105.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-170130-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph shifting to the south 5
to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....56-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........45-65 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph
after midnight.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....87-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-170130-
Marble and Glen Canyons-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....87-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....65-73.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........28-48 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....90-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ104-170130-
Kaibab Plateau-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....80-89 below 7000 feet...73-81 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent below 7000 feet...20-30 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....58-64 below 7000 feet...50-59 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent below 7000 feet...48-68 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....84-92 below 7000 feet...77-84 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20 percent below 7000 feet...22-27 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 86 to 96. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-170130-
Coconino Plateau-
Including the city of Valle
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....78-85 on the Plateau...88-98 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-29 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....54-63 on the Plateau...64-74 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........55-75 percent on the Plateau...32-52 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....83-89 on the Plateau...93-103 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent on the Plateau...19 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 85 to 94. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-170130-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....84-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....60-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........31-51 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....87-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 97. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 97. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 97. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-170130-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....84-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........39-59 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 88 to 96. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 88 to 96. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 97. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-170130-
Chinle Valley-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....84-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....60-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........36-56 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....87-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 96. South winds around
10 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming west
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 97. Light winds becoming
northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 98. Light winds becoming northwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-170130-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....79-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....56-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........50-70 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north in the
afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming
northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-170130-
Black Mesa Area-
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....79-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....59-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........32-52 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....81-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 84 to 90. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 84 to 91. Light winds becoming
west 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 91. Light winds becoming northwest
10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ112-170130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Including the cities of Wupatki National Monument and Tuba City
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....59-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........44-64 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-98.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ113-170130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....86-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....59-65.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........49-69 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 97. South winds 10 to 15 mph
early in the morning becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 90 to 97. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 91 to 98. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-170130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026 /152 AM MDT Sun Aug 16 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....82-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....56-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph shifting to the east 5 to 10
mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Southeast winds around 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds becoming
northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-170130-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....83-93 below 5000 feet...80-90 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to
15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....61-67 below 5000 feet...57-63 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........38-58 percent below 5000 feet...42-62 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-94 below 5000 feet...83-91 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-170130-
White Mountains-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-90 below 7000 feet...72-82 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent below 7000 feet...24-34 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....57-64 below 7000 feet...48-58 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........50-70 percent below 7000 feet...72-92 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-91 below 7000 feet...72-82 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent below 7000 feet...29-39 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-170130-
Northern Gila County-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
1252 AM MST Sun Aug 16 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....90-100 below 5000 feet...84-94 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....64-74 below 5000 feet...58-68 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........37-57 percent below 5000 feet...50-70 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....92-102 below 5000 feet...86-95 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 92 to 102. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 92 to 102. Light winds.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 21 - 25 2026...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$