Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
872
FNUS55 KFGZ 190742
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Wednesday...Hot and mainly dry conditions
continue. Isolated showers and thunderstorms today, mainly across
eastern Arizona then spreading further westward on Wednesday. Winds
generally variable 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds possible in and
around thunderstorms. Minimum afternoon RH values 10-30%, highest
across the White Mountains.
Thursday through Saturday...Chances for showers and thunderstorms
increase each day, with wetting rain possible by the weekend. Winds
will primarily be variable 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
possible in and around thunderstorms. Minimum afternoon RH values 10-
30%, highest values across the White Mountains and Mogollon Rim.
AZZ115-200115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....45-55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........51-71 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north after
midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers through the day. Chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
84 to 94. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 84 to 94. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and slight chance
of showers. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-200115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....98-107 at the River...85-94 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....68-76 at the River...55-65 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........24-34 percent at the River...30-40 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....98-107 at the River...84-94 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent at the River...16 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 96 to
106. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 95 to 105.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ108-200115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-93 below 5000 feet...around 87 above 5000
feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....58-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........33-53 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 92 below 5000 feet...around 89 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 90 to
98. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 89 to
97. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-200115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....95-105.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....97-107.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 98 to 108. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 97 to 107.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 95 to 105. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-200115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....90-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....54-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-40 percent below 5000 feet...35-45 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Slight chance of rain showers
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to
101. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 90 to 100. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-200115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025 /142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....95-104.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....69-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........25-35 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....95-103.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 95 to 104. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 94 to 104. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 91 to 100. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ104-200115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....90-100 below 7000 feet...82-91 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........8 percent below 7000 feet...11 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....60-70 below 7000 feet...51-61 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........27-37 percent below 7000 feet...30-50 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....90-100 below 7000 feet...82-92 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent below 7000 feet...15 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
$$
AZZ107-200115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025 /142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....88-96 on the Plateau...99-108 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....52-62 on the Plateau...66-76 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent on the Plateau...26-36 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....88-96 on the Plateau...100-110 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14 percent on the Plateau...11 percent at the
River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 89 to
99. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 89 to
99. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-200115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....91-98.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........East 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southeast 5
to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....61-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52-72 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....90-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 98. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 90 to 98. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 87 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-200115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025 /142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....91-98.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 90 to
97. Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the morning becoming
light, then becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 97.
Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 87 to
94. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-200115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....90-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....60-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........55-75 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....88-97.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast in
the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 98. South winds around 10 mph early in
the morning becoming light, then becoming north around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 98. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 85 to
94. Light winds.
$$
AZZ111-200115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025 /142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots increasing to around
15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....57-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........62-82 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 79 to
89. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-200115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025 /142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........East 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....58-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........51-71 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....85-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 93. South winds around 10 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 92. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 89. Light winds.
$$
AZZ112-200115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025 /142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....93-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....63-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........36-56 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Slight chance of showers in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-100.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to
100. South winds around 10 mph early in the morning becoming
light, then becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to 100.
Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 96. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ113-200115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025 /142 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....91-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the evening.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....90-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to
99. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 99.
Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 89 to
96. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph with gusts up to
20 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-200115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....Around 66 below 7000 feet...around 61 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........62-82 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 85 to
95. Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96.
Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 85 to
93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-200115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....84-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....52-62.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........49-69 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-95 below 5000 feet...84-93 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 83 to 93. Light
winds becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 81 to 91.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-200115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....83-92 below 7000 feet...75-85 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent below 7000 feet...21-31 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL decreasing to 2200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....61-68 below 7000 feet...48-58 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........53-73 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Thunderstorms likely through the day. Rain
showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-91 below 7000 feet...74-84 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent below 7000 feet...27-37 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 80 to 90.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 81 to 91. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 80 to 90.
Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-200115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
1242 AM MST Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-103 below 5000 feet...87-96 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....64-74 below 5000 feet...59-69 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........42-62 percent below 5000 feet...53-73 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....94-104 below 5000 feet...87-96 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent below 5000 feet...19-24 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 94 to
104. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 93 to 103.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 92 to
102. Light winds.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 24 - 28 2025...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$