Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
295
FNUS55 KFGZ 190854
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Saturday...Expect thunderstorms to
redevelop over much of central and northern Arizona by the
afternoon. Wetting rains are likely. Isolated thunderstorms will be
possible again on Saturday, but more confined to the higher terrain.
Minimum RH values will range between 30-50% today and 25-40% on
Saturday. Winds southwest to west at 5-15 mph with a few higher
gusts during the afternoon, light and variable or terrain driven
overnight.
Sunday through Tuesday...Look for isolated showers and thunderstorms
on Sunday and Monday, turning drier on Tuesday. Minimum RH values
20-35% Sunday and Monday dipping to 15-25% on Tuesday. Winds
southwest at 5-15 mph gusting to 25 mph on Sunday then turning light
at 15 mph or less for Monday and Tuesday.
AZZ115-200200-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning.
Showers and thunderstorms becoming likely.
Max temperature.....70-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog
through the night.
Min temperature.....36-46.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....72-82.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 67 to 77. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds becoming east around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-200200-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms
becoming likely.
Max temperature.....84-93 at the River...70-80 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent at the River...24-34 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots increasing to
southwest around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....58-67 at the River...47-57 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........56-76 percent at the River...67-87 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....86-95 at the River...72-82 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20 percent at the River...21-31 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots increasing to around
20 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 79 to
89. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
$$
AZZ108-200200-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....78-83 below 5000 feet...around 76 above 5000
feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent below 5000 feet...50 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 15 mph
increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots increasing to southwest
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog after
midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64 below 5000 feet...around 61 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76 percent below 5000 feet...81 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 82 below 5000 feet...around 78 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38 percent below 5000 feet...42 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots increasing to southwest
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 81. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 86. Light winds becoming east around
10 mph in the morning, then shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-200200-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....54-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds becoming south around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-200200-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....76-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....57-62 below 5000 feet...51-61 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........68-88 percent below 5000 feet...77-97 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24-34 percent below 5000 feet...27-37 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest with gusts up to 20 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming southeast
around 10 mph in the morning, then shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 85.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-200200-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025 /254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....79-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....56-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........50-70 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....81-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 81 to 90. Light winds becoming west
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 78 to
86. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 79 to 87. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-200200-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....75-84 below 7000 feet...67-75 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent below 7000 feet...29-39 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....50-58 below 7000 feet...43-50 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........64-84 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....76-85 below 7000 feet...67-76 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent below 7000 feet...23-33 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 74 to 84. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 73 to
83. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 75 to 85. Light winds becoming
east 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-200200-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025 /254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....75-81 on the Plateau...85-93 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent on the Plateau...18-28 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog after
midnight.
Min temperature.....43-53 on the Plateau...54-64 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...65-85 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....76-83 on the Plateau...86-95 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 85. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 73 to 83. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming east 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ109-200200-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....76-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-29 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....53-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........58-78 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....77-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 77 to 85. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 73 to
81. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 75 to 84. Light winds. Gusts up to
15 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-200200-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025 /254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....76-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24-34 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....52-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........72-92 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....79-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 85. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 74 to
81. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 78 to 85. Light winds.
$$
AZZ110-200200-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....75-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....49-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........70-90 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....77-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 78 to 84. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 78. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 74 to 81. Light winds.
$$
AZZ111-200200-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025 /254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....67-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....45-55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........75-95 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....70-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 70 to 80. Light winds becoming west
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 76. Light winds becoming west 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 69 to 79. Light winds.
$$
AZZ139-200200-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025 /254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........58-78 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....73-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 73 to 80. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 68 to
75. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 71 to 79. Light winds. Gusts up to
15 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ112-200200-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025 /254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....79-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest with gusts up to 20 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....52-58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....81-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 89. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 76 to 85. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 88. Light winds becoming north around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ113-200200-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025 /254 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....77-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to west
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....80-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots increasing to west
around 15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 84. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 76 to 82. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 85. Light winds.
$$
AZZ114-200200-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....72-80.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....Around 56 below 7000 feet...around 53 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....74-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 83. Light winds becoming west 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 79. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 82. Light winds.
$$
AZZ116-200200-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....78-83 below 5000 feet...71-80 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog after
midnight.
Min temperature.....53-59 below 5000 feet...50-57 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-86 below 5000 feet...73-83 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 78.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 74 to 84. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-200200-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....70-80 below 7000 feet...61-71 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........37-47 percent below 7000 feet...43-53 percent
above 7000 feet. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Patchy fog through the night. Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance
of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....52-58 below 7000 feet...41-51 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................50 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....73-83 below 7000 feet...64-74 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent below 7000 feet...34-44 percent
above 7000 feet. Chance of rain showers in the
morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the
day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 68 to 78. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-200200-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
154 AM MST Fri Sep 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....82-92 below 5000 feet...75-85 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent below 5000 feet...36-46 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the night.
Min temperature.....58-68 below 5000 feet...52-62 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........72-92 percent below 5000 feet...80-100 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....84-94 below 5000 feet...78-88 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph
with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming west 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 88. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR SEP 24 - 28 2025...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$