Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
829
FNUS55 KFGZ 140815
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Saturday...Cooler. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms across northwest Arizona, generally scattered for the
remainder of the area. Coverage on Saturday becoming isolated to
scattered from the Mogollon Rim and northward. Outside of storms,
winds generally southwest/west 5-10 mph.
Sunday through Tuesday...Gradually turning warmer. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms each day, especially over the higher terrain and
across eastern Arizona. Winds light and variable on Sunday, becoming
south through west 5-10 mph on Monday and Tuesday.
AZZ115-150100-
Western Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....41-51.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-82.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ106-150100-
Grand Canyon Country-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Tusayan, Supai,
and Grand Canyon North Rim
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-91 at the River...66-76 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent at the River...41-51 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent increasing to 70 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening.
Min temperature.....59-65 at the River...48-58 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-95 at the River...72-82 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 0 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 86 to
96. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ108-150100-
Yavapai County Mountains-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 81 below 5000 feet...around 76 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph becoming south 5 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 67 below 5000 feet...around 64 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 84 below 5000 feet...around 79 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 82 to 91. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 85 to 94. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds becoming
south 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ137-150100-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....85-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....58-68.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........74-94 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....89-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 93 to 103. Northeast winds around 10 mph early in
the morning becoming light, then becoming southwest around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 96 to 106. Northeast winds around
10 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds becoming
southeast around 10 mph in the morning, then shifting to the
southwest with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-150100-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....58-66 below 5000 feet...54-64 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........63-83 percent below 5000 feet...67-87 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph
after midnight.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 84 to 94. Northeast winds around 10 mph early in
the morning becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 87 to 97. Northeast winds around
10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-150100-
Marble and Glen Canyons-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....58-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ104-150100-
Kaibab Plateau-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-78 below 7000 feet...64-72 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent below 7000 feet...49-59 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 15
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent increasing to 70 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....50-58 below 7000 feet...44-53 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-84 below 7000 feet...69-77 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent below 7000 feet...31-41 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ107-150100-
Coconino Plateau-
Including the city of Valle
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-78 on the Plateau...80-90 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent on the Plateau...37-47 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent increasing to 70 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....49-58 on the Plateau...59-69 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...67-87 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-82 on the Plateau...85-95 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........30-40 percent on the Plateau...23-33 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 88. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 83 to 92. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 85 to 94. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.
$$
AZZ109-150100-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....54-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........69-89 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....80-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 84 to 91. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 87 to 95. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 88 to 96. Light winds becoming
southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ140-150100-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........65-85 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....82-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 85 to 91. Light winds becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 87 to 94. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 87 to 95. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-150100-
Chinle Valley-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....56-62.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........67-87 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....81-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 91. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 87 to 95. South winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-150100-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-82.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....51-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........67-87 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....76-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-150100-
Black Mesa Area-
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....51-59.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........66-86 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....77-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 79 to
86. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 82 to 89. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 83 to 90. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
AZZ112-150100-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Including the cities of Wupatki National Monument and Tuba City
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........72-92 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....82-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 98. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ113-150100-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....55-61.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........74-94 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....82-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 9800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 93. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 95. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 89 to 96. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-150100-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026 /215 AM MDT Fri Aug 14 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 70 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....52-59.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........70-90 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....78-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 94. Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light, then becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Southeast winds around 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-150100-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-86 below 5000 feet...73-83 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent below 5000 feet...37-47 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....57-63 below 5000 feet...53-59 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........58-78 percent below 5000 feet...69-89 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-90 below 5000 feet...77-87 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24-34 percent below 5000 feet...27-37 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-150100-
White Mountains-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-83 below 7000 feet...65-75 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent below 7000 feet...44-54 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 70 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 0 knots increasing to southwest
around 10 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....53-59 below 7000 feet...43-53 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........70-90 percent below 7000 feet...80-100 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 0 percent after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-87 below 7000 feet...69-79 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent below 7000 feet...29-39 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 79 to 89. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-150100-
Northern Gila County-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
115 AM MST Fri Aug 14 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....83-93 below 5000 feet...77-87 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent below 5000 feet...30-40 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....60-70 below 5000 feet...53-63 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........56-76 percent below 5000 feet...75-95 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....87-97 below 5000 feet...81-91 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-31 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................0 percent.
Chance lightning....0 percent increasing to 10 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 19 - 23 2026...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$