Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
339
FNUS55 KFGZ 150849
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Tuesday and Wednesday...Daily chances for
showers/thunderstorms will continue each day, and we cannot rule out
the possibility of overnight activity too. Gusty/erratic winds likely
in/around storms, with southerly winds 5-15 mph otherwise. Temperatures
will gradually cool each day, landing 5-10 degrees below normal by Wednesday.
Thursday through Saturday...Scattered to widespread
showers/thunderstorms forecast for Thursday, becoming more focused
across the eastern Rim, White Mountains, and Chuska Mountains Friday
and Saturday. Outside of gusty/erratic storm driven winds, look for
south through west winds 5-15 mph. Temperatures expected to slightly
warm near normal through the weekend.
AZZ115-160130-
Western Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night. Chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....45-55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-76.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 68 to 78. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-160130-
Grand Canyon Country-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Tusayan, Supai,
and Grand Canyon North Rim
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-96 at the River...71-81 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........24-34 percent at the River...35-45 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....64-72 at the River...51-61 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........64-84 percent at the River...80-100 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92 at the River...68-78 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent at the River...39-49 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 81 to 91. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds.
$$
AZZ108-160130-
Yavapai County Mountains-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 77 below 5000 feet...around 74 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 65 below 5000 feet...around 62 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72 below 5000 feet...around 69 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 77 to 86. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 78 to 87. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-160130-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 87 to 97. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-160130-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-86.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....54-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........77-97 percent below 5000 feet...80-100 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-82 below 5000 feet...70-80 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 75 to 85. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds becoming
south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
$$
AZZ105-160130-
Marble and Glen Canyons-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers in the morning. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the day. Slight
chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-92.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....61-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........65-85 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-89.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds becoming south around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds.
$$
AZZ104-160130-
Kaibab Plateau-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-85 below 7000 feet...68-77 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........30-40 percent below 7000 feet...36-46 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....54-62 below 7000 feet...48-55 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-83 below 7000 feet...66-74 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent below 7000 feet...39-49 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 82. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds.
$$
AZZ107-160130-
Coconino Plateau-
Including the city of Valle
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....76-82 on the Plateau...88-98 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........31-41 percent on the Plateau...22-32 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....54-62 on the Plateau...63-73 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent on the Plateau...64-84 percent
at the River.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-79 on the Plateau...86-96 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent on the Plateau...25-35 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 83. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up
to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 84. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 85. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-160130-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the night.
Min temperature.....56-63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....73-81.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 74 to 81. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 75 to 82. Light winds.
$$
AZZ140-160130-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-84.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms through the
night.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....70-78.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 80. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 74 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs 74 to 81. Light winds.
$$
AZZ110-160130-
Chinle Valley-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....55-62.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-78.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 5
to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 78. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 74 to 79. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 74 to 79. Light winds.
$$
AZZ111-160130-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....51-59.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....64-74.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Poor.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 66 to 76. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph early
in the morning becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy early in the morning then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 67 to
77. South winds around 10 mph early in the morning becoming
light, then becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 67 to 77. Light winds.
$$
AZZ139-160130-
Black Mesa Area-
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-79.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........79-99 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....40 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-75.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 5
to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 68 to 75. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 70 to 77. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 69 to 76. Light winds.
$$
AZZ112-160130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Including the cities of Wupatki National Monument and Tuba City
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....80-88.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Slight chance of rain showers through the
night.
Min temperature.....56-64.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-83.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 77 to 84. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 86. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 85. Light winds.
$$
AZZ113-160130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-85.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....56-63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 10 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-78.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Marginal.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 82. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 82. Light winds.
$$
AZZ114-160130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026 /249 AM MDT Tue Sep 15 2026/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77 below 7000 feet...around 73 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........48 percent below 7000 feet...52 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57 below 7000 feet...around 54 above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........92 percent below 7000 feet...98 percent above
7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-75.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Chance lightning....10 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 79. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting
to the southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 73 to 81. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 73 to 81. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-160130-
Eastern Mogollon Rim-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-82 below 5000 feet...72-78 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........44-54 percent below 5000 feet...47-57 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....56-63 below 5000 feet...53-59 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-76 below 5000 feet...68-73 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........62 percent below 5000 feet...65 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 78. Light winds becoming south 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-160130-
White Mountains-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-80 below 7000 feet...63-73 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........41-51 percent below 7000 feet...49-59 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....53-59 below 7000 feet...45-54 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........76-96 percent below 5000 feet...80-100 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph after
midnight.
Free winds..........South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
rain showers with thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-76 below 7000 feet...60-70 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........48-58 percent below 7000 feet...59-69 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 68 to 78. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 71 to 81. Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light, then becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
$$
AZZ118-160130-
Northern Gila County-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
149 AM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Chance of rain showers through
the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-89 below 5000 feet...74-82 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
Free winds..........Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. Chance of rain showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
Min temperature.....60-69 below 5000 feet...54-64 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Chance lightning....30 percent decreasing to 20 percent after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....75-85 below 5000 feet...69-78 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........South 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................80 percent.
Chance lightning....20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
afternoon.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming south around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR SEP 20 - 24, 2026...
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$