Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS55 KFGZ 210752
FWFFGZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++

+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
    terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

.DISCUSSION...Today Friday...Hot conditions continue. More
widespread showers and thunderstorms expected on today and Friday,
along with increasing RH values. Winds generally variable 5-10 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds possible in and around thunderstorms.

Saturday through Monday...Increasing chances for numerous to
widespread showers and thunderstorms with wetting rains each day.
Winds will primarily be variable 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
possible in and around thunderstorms.

AZZ115-220115-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....86-96.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....51-61.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........61-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
                    of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-94.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL decreasing to 2100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and slight chance
of showers. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds becoming southwest around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and slight chance of showers. Highs
76 to 86. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.

$$

AZZ106-220115-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....101-111 at the River...88-98 at the Rim.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent at the River...15 percent at the
                    Rim.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....73-82 at the River...61-71 at the Rim.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........28-38 percent at the River...32-42 percent at
                    the Rim.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....99-109 at the River...86-96 at the Rim.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent at the River...18 percent at the
                    Rim.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 88 to
98. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ108-220115-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-97 below 5000 feet...around 90 above 5000
                    feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22 percent below 5000 feet...25 percent above
                    5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....62-72.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........52 percent below 5000 feet...49 percent above
                    5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 92 below 5000 feet...around 88 above
                    5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 15 mph shifting to the west 5 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 96. Light winds becoming west 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 86 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 82 to
91. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the morning, then
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ137-220115-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....98-108.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....65-75.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........44-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....98-108.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 96 to 106. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 95 to 105.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to
101. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the morning,
then shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ138-220115-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Areas
                    of smoke in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-103.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....60-70.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........North 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....92-102.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 15 mph shifting to the south 5
                    to 10 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and slight chance
of showers. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds becoming southwest around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 85 to 95. Light
winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ105-220115-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025 /152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....97-106.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....72-80.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....95-104.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 93 to 102. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 88 to 97. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers.
Highs 87 to 96. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.

$$

AZZ104-220115-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....92-102 below 7000 feet...83-93 above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent below 7000 feet...14-19 percent
                    above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....65-74 below 7000 feet...54-64 above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....91-101 below 7000 feet...81-91 above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14 percent below 7000 feet...16-21 percent
                    above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds becoming northwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 92.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ107-220115-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025 /152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....90-98 on the Plateau...101-111 at the River.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent on the Plateau...11 percent at the
                    River.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....59-69 on the Plateau...72-82 at the River.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........42-62 percent on the Plateau...30-40 percent at
                    the River.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
                    of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-97 on the Plateau...100-110 at the River.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent on the Plateau...13 percent at the
                    River.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 80 to
90. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ109-220115-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-100.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....64-74.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........39-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....91-98.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 89 to 95. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers.
Highs 82 to 89. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.

$$

AZZ140-220115-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025 /152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....93-100.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north in
                    the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....63-69.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........44-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-98.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 89 to 96. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 86 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 83 to 91.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ110-220115-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....92-99.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....61-71.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........45-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-98.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 89 to 96. Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 91. Southeast winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 81 to 88. Light winds.

$$

AZZ111-220115-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025 /152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....85-95.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....57-67.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........51-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....83-93.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 7300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the northeast
                    in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs
81 to 91. Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 88. South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 76 to 86. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.

$$

AZZ139-220115-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025 /152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....87-95.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....63-71.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........43-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....86-93.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 91. Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 79 to 87. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 77 to 84. Light winds.

$$

AZZ112-220115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025 /152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....94-103.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast in
                    the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........34-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....92-101.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph shifting to the east 5 to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 90 to 99. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 85 to
93. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ113-220115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025 /152 AM MDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....94-101.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast in
                    the afternoon.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
                    mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....92-99.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east in the
                    afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 89 to 98. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 89 to 94. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
morning, then shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 92.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ114-220115-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90 below 7000 feet...around 87 above
                    7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....Around 64 below 7000 feet...around 61 above
                    7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........59 percent below 7000 feet...64 percent above
                    7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....86-94.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east in the
                    afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 84 to
93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 91.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ116-220115-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....92-97 below 5000 feet...86-94 above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....62-67 below 5000 feet...59-64 above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 5
                    to 10 mph after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day.
Max temperature.....84-94.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 82 to 91.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 81 to 91. Light
winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

AZZ117-220115-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....83-93 below 7000 feet...76-86 above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent below 7000 feet...22-32 percent
                    above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....60-66 below 7000 feet...48-58 above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........57-77 percent below 7000 feet...79-99 percent
                    above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........East 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....83-92 below 7000 feet...75-85 above 7000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........22-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs 79 to 89.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 80 to 90.
South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89.
Light winds.

$$

AZZ118-220115-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
1252 AM MST Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....96-106 below 5000 feet...89-99 above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent below 5000 feet...19-24 percent
                    above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........North around 5 mph shifting to the east 5 to 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....66-76 below 5000 feet...59-69 above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........48-68 percent below 5000 feet...60-80 percent
                    above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Free winds..........North 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
                    day.
Max temperature.....94-104 below 5000 feet...89-98 above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent below 5000 feet...21-26 percent
                    above 5000 feet.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 91 to
101. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 26 - 30 2025...
Below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.

=
$$

VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.

ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.

$$