466
FXUS65 KFGZ 212033
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
133 PM MST Sat Feb 21 2026

.SYNOPSIS...Cool temperatures continue for today, but expect dry
conditions and much warmer temperatures for Sunday and especially
heading into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Ridging aloft steadily builds heading into next week
and today will be the last below normal day, for temperatures. The
low level easterlies will hang on possibly through Sunday, but will
start to lose their bite as the pressure gradient relaxes.

500mb hghts for the next week will vary between 573dm-583dm, the
coldest mid-level temperatures will be near the Four Corners. This
means temperatures will begin to soar, as early as tomorrow, with
many locations 10-15+ degrees above normal next week.

Winds will be generally light in this pattern, after today, and
there is no precipitation in sight. Possibly a minor break down and
some cooling around days 7-10, but very low confidence at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...Saturday 21/18Z through Sunday 22/18Z...VFR
conditions, no precipitation expected. Winds E 5-15kts, gusts to
20kts daytime, light and variable or terrain driven overnight,
especially at KSEZ with winds NE 10-15kts, gusts to 25kts.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 22/18Z through Tuesday 24/18Z...VFR conditions,
no precipitation expected. Winds E-NE 5-10kts daytime, light and
variable or terrain driven overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday...Temperatures warm close to
average on Sunday before warming above average on Monday. Winds E-NE
5-15 mph on Sunday, light and variable 5-10 mph on Monday. Minimum
RH values forecast between 15-35% both days.

Tuesday through Thursday...Temperatures warming 10-15 degrees above
average through the time period. Minimum RH values generally between
15-35% each afternoon. Winds SW-W 10-20 mph on Tuesday and
Wednesday, W-NW 5-15 mph Thursday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Bernhart
FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff