435
FXUS65 KFGZ 242030
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
130 PM MST Sat May 24 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Mainly dry conditions and warm weather continues through
much of the next week with occasional breezy afternoons.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A decaying low pressure system across the Great
Basin today will continue to weaken as it moves towards the east.
The low finally lifts out of the region late Sunday into Monday.
This system has brought some gusty south to southwest winds to the
are this afternoon with a little less wind and more westerly push on
Sunday. With very limited moisture accompanying the system and our
very dry low levels, no showers are expected as it moves through our
area, though you might see some virga around. Just a slight increase
in cloud cover can be expected through Sunday. Temperatures will
remain mild and near the seasonal averages.

A weak ridge tries to build in on Monday as another trough starts to
develop across the Great Basin. This pattern hangs around through
much of the week, bringing occasional breezy afternoons and
continued warm days and mainly dry conditions.

The end of the week may bring some hope for an increase in moisture
as a low may stall just off the coast of southern California with a
ridge across the desert southwest. This particular pattern would
allow for moisture to be pulled in from the east and perhaps some
chances for showers for the end of the week. Lots to keep an eye on
as the week unfolds but keep your fingers crossed that we may see
more moisture by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...Saturday 24/18Z through Sunday 25/18Z...VFR conditions
are expected, with some BKN-SCT high clouds. Winds are southwest
10-20 kts gusting up to 30 kts, becoming light and VRB overnight.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 25/18Z through Tuesday 27/18Z...VFR conditions are
expected. Winds are SW-W 10-20 kts each day, light and VRB during
the overnight periods.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday...Dry with near normal
temperatures. Winds are southwest through west 10-15 mph with gusts
20-25 mph each day. Minimum RH values are 5-15% bringing areas of
near critical fire weather concerns.

Monday through Wednesday...Dry conditions and gradually warming
temperatures. Winds are southwest through west 10-20 mph through
Thursday. Minimum RH values are 5-15% each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Meola
AVIATION...Lewandowski
FIRE WEATHER...Lewandowski

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff