837
FNUS73 KFGF 191430
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Flag 2...MN DNR
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
930 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 CDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Here is the forecast for your site east of Bemidji.

Ample cloud cover through much of the day will keep daytime
temperatures in the 40s and 50s. This limits the amount of
decrease in RH values, with minimum RH values remaining above 50%.

Winds are forecast to remain light this morning, under 10 mph,
generally out of the northwest.

There is some uncertainty in whether or not cloud coverage
lessens later this afternoon, with a 60% chance low stratus clouds
linger through mid afternoon. Should cloud coverage lessen before
mid afternoon, RH values could dip near 50%, and winds increase
out of the southwest 10-15 mph; whereas, ample cloud cover through
much of the afternoon will keep RH closer to 70% while keeping
winds around 10 mph or less, still out of the southwest.

Mixing heights are forecast to around 3000 ft in the afternoon,
however would be lower should low stratus remain in place through
much of the afternoon.

Sunday holds a better chance of sunny skies, RH values between
30-40 percent and winds out of the southwest 10-20 mph, gusting at
times to 25 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Fog this morning.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon, then
                    increasing to around 15 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....6000 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    32900 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  93  94  86  80  77  69  59
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  50  51  51  52  53  53  54
RH..............93  89  86  83  83  77  77  74
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.        6   8   11  12  14  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.7
Mixing wind dir.NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.5   5   5   5   10  10  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   7   9   13  22  28  33  33

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....(4200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........35        16        13        14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............51        46        46        46
RH..............80        93        89        89
20 FT wind......SW 5G14   SW 5G14   SW 5G14   SW 5G14
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      400       400       500
Mixing wind.....SW 10     SW 15     SW 15     SW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8         5         6         6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....6600 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    56700 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  9   4   12  18  7   5   10  11  8   5   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  48  49  52  58  62  67  71  73  74  76  73
RH..............89  93  93  86  75  62  52  46  43  40  37  41
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.14  14  15  16  18  19  20  20  21  21  19  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.2
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   7   7   8   16  19  28  37  43  50  57  33

$$
Forecaster...CJ
Requested by...Arthur Braun
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424406.1/FGF
.DELDT 10/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL arthur.braun@state.mn.us