Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FNUS73 KFGF 311419
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Spot Forecast for Pine Point Community Rx Unit #1-10...MN-MNA White Earth
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
919 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on March 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Here is the forecast for your burn site near Mission Lake and Pine
Point MN. Near critical fire weather conditions are forecast due
to low RH values despite lighter winds.

Minimum RH values are forecast to be in the mid to upper 20s
percent. This is due to high confidence in sunny skies
efficiently mixing lowest levels of the atmosphere within dry air
currently in place over Minnesota. There is a low chance (20%)
that RH values fall slightly further into the lower 20s, with
temperatures reaching into the mid 40s indicating this will be
occuring.

Winds will be on the relatively lighter side due to high pressure
over the area. Despite deep mixing expected, lighter winds
throughout the lower atmosphere will limit winds in the 5 to 10
mph out of the northwest, gusts to near 15 mph. Less than 10%
chance of exceeding these gusts. There is however a medium chance
wind direction may deviate away from the northwest and become more
erratic than normal.

Tonight, winds remain light with a nighttime inversion developing
lowering mixing heights.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....26800 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 41800 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   4   2   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............33  35  37  39  39  39
RH..............41  36  32  28  27  27
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  11  9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.5
Mixing wind dir.N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Mixing wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..39  33  41  42  33  27

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 23.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North around 5 mph shifting to the east early
                    in the evening, then increasing to around 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....21900 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 3400 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........1         3         30        32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............40        30        26        24
RH..............26        38        50        57
20 FT wind......N 5G7     NE 5G6    E 5G9     E 5G12
Mix hgt (ft)....4400      600       500       700
Mixing wind.....N 5       E 10      E 10      E 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22        4         5         8

$$
Forecaster...CJ
Requested by...Dave Snetsinger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508479.0/FGF
.DELDT 03/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dave.snetsinger@whiteearth-nsn.gov