434
FNUS73 KFGF 221404
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Goose Prairie South Rx-Burn...Minnesota Department of Natural Resources
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
904 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

There is a lot of variability across the area this morning, due to
an area of surface low pressure stretching from Minot to Fargo.
This is bringing highly variable wind directions, wind speeds,
temperatures, and cloud cover. Starting with wind directions, they
are already turning to the southwest to west, but should be more
steady westerly this afternoon. Lighter speeds this morning will
become pretty gusty through the afternoon. Your burn area will be
on the cloudy/clear line for a while too, resulting in some
differential heating. It will start the day pretty cloudy, but
clearing will work in later this morning or afternoon. Once it
does clear, it will become a little more gusty. So to sum up, it
will be a highly variable day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the morning, then chance of rain
                    showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph shifting to the
                    west late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 20 to 25 mph shifting to the south
                    around 15 mph early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the southwest late in the morning
                    increasing to west 25 to 30 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....10300 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 79700 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing to
                    (115500 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  89  89  84  76  78  78  60  31  16  15  11
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............47  47  47  47  48  49  52  54  56  58  60  60
RH..............79  79  83  86  86  83  74  66  57  49  44  41
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.25  22  19  18  19  22  22  23  23  25  26  26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.7 1.6 1.5 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.6 5.5 6.5 6.6
Mixing wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.25  20  15  15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  11  10  20  22  45  61  80  116 137 169 165

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....133300 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 40300 knot-ft late in the night decreasing
                    to (4200 knot-ft) early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  12  25  35  29  31  13  10  8   15  21  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  58  54  50  49  47  45  44  42  41  40  39
RH..............41  45  55  63  66  71  73  76  79  79  82  82
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..20  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.25  21  14  14  13  13  12  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...6.1 2.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.25  20  15  15  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..133 40  9   6   4   5   6   6   8   7   10  10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 20 mph becoming around 15 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....9900 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    57300 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  36  34  34  38  43  41  37  35  36  38  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............39  38  39  40  42  44  46  48  49  50  51  51
RH..............82  82  82  79  73  68  65  60  61  58  56  54
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  14  15  16  16  18  18  18  18  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.1 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.9
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixing wind spd.15  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  17  32  35  40  44  47  50  52  55  57  52

$$
Forecaster...VG
Requested by...Greg Henderson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511320.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL greg.henderson@state.mn.us,robert.baden@state.mn.us