Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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713
FNUS73 KFGF 041313
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for New Maine WMA Burn...MN DNR
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
813 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Southwest winds will become more westerly and then northerly as a
cold front pushes into the area. Wind shift will be mid-day.
Speeds will pick up to around 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph by
afternoon. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop near
the front during the afternoon, and any stronger cells could
produce random gusts. Clouds and the cold front will bring cooler
temperatures than yesterday in the 70s, with afternoon RH values
in the 55 to 60 percent range. Rain will continue into the
overnight hours with climbing humidity values.  Even cooler
highs, breezy winds, and scattered showers on Sunday.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    early in the morning. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph decreasing to around 5 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the west late
                    in the morning shifting to the north 10 to 15
                    mph in the afternoon becoming around 15 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 20 to 25 mph shifting to the west
                    around 15 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the north in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....7600 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    33100 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  42  40  45  46  59  59  61  53  66
Weather cov.....                        ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        ISO ISO ISO ISO
Temp............67  70  72  72  73  74  73  72  72  71
RH..............75  71  66  64  62  59  62  62  62  64
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  5   5   5   15  10  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.11  8   7   12  19  18  19  19  19  19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.2
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  22  24  25  23  26  28  29  33  29

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
                    through the night. Scattered thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 15 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....25400 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 7200 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  80  90  91  90  90  93  92  87  86  83  89
Weather cov.....SCT NUM DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF NUM NUM DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCT NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Temp............69  66  63  61  60  58  57  57  56  55  55  55
RH..............66  74  82  91  91  95  99  95  99  100 100 99
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  21  21  21  20  20  20  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.2 0.7
Mixing wind dir.N   N   N   NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Mixing wind spd.15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25  20  17  19  21  24  24  7   12  12  20  11

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered thunderstorms
                    in the morning. Rain showers through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Northeast winds around 15 mph shifting
                    to the north early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the west late in the morning
                    increasing to around 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 32 mph late in the morning shifting to
                    the northwest with gusts to around 37 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast around 20 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the west late in the morning shifting to the
                    northwest 30 to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....12200 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 79200 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  97  95  87  85  90  92  91  89  87  85  82
Weather cov.....NUM DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCT SCT SCT SCT
Temp............54  54  53  56  58  59  58  57  59  55  53  52
RH..............100 100 100 100 99  94  89  86  74  80  79  80
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   NW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  15  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
20 FT wind gust.21  20  23  25  27  29  32  34  36  37  36  34
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.6
Mixing wind dir.NE  NE  NE  SE  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixing wind spd.20  20  20  20  25  25  30  35  35  35  35  30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18  17  12  25  44  54  60  65  70  74  79  69

$$
Forecaster...JR
Requested by...Jason Wollin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522965.0/FGF
.DELDT 10/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.wollin@state.mn.us