946
FXUS63 KFGF 231453
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
953 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low over
  the next 7 days.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 953 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Clouds still across the Red River Valley into parts of the
Devils Lake Basin, so increased sky cover in the forecast.
Otherwise, seems on track with a few showers expected this
afternoon and temps climbing through the upper 50s and 60 to top
out in the 65 to 70 range.

UPDATE
Issued at 733 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Forecast looking good. Large area of cloud east of the Red River
in MN and a batch DVL to Valley City and then upstream thru
Manitoba. So higher cloud percentages for most areas today look
good. No changes to any pops.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 351 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

...Synopsis...

500 mb low is over NW Ontario and will move east. A short wave
upstream in northern Saskatchewan will move quickly southeast
and thru E ND/NW MN tonight. What this means is that cooler air
aloft will be over the northeast 2/3 of the area with enough 850
mb moisture for the development of CU outside of patches of
stratocu moving thru. Chc of light rain showers Roseau, Baudette
into tonight. Coord among MN offices yielded spreading 10-14
pops and sprinkles back west and southwest thru the RRV and west
central late morning thru the aftn and early evening. Most CAMs
indicate spotty showers basically east of Devils Lake- Valley
City-Forman line this aftn and early eve.

NW winds today on the breezy side with wind gust potential 30
kts...so well under advisory range.  Highs today mostly 60s.

Tonight will most of the diurnally driven CU dissipate after
sunset but patches of stratocu remain. Lows into 40s, coolest
Langdon area with low 40s and a few low 40s psbl in NW MN if
skies clear out some. Additional CU formation Sunday with
daytime heating, but dont anticipate shower or sprinkles at this
time.

Monday thru Friday a dry period with temps warming slightly to
mainly mid-upr 70s for highs Tues-Fri. A quite period.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 733 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Northwest wind gusting 30 kts in the Red River valley and a bit
less east and west. Clouds for many areas dominate today, though
some breaks, and farther west you are the more breaks. But
overall looking at MVFR to lower end VFR cigs today, in the 1500
ft to 3500 ft agl range.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Riddle/JR
DISCUSSION...Riddle
AVIATION...Riddle