239
FXUS63 KFGF 301118
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
518 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light snow this morning could mix with freezing drizzle
  across portions of the Red River Valley and eastern North
  Dakota. Travel impacts are possible through late morning.

- Another clipper moves through the area late tonight into
  Wednesday morning. Light snow, as well as blowing snow, are
  possible across parts of eastern North Dakota, central Red
  River Valley, and west central Minnesota. There is a 40
  percent chance for Advisory conditions heading into the
  Wednesday morning commute.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 440 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

...Synopsis...

Warm air advection is bringing moisture into the low to mid levels
this morning, with light snow and light freezing rain possible
through late this morning. Temperatures climb in response to the WAA
this morning; however, this surge in temps will be short lived as
another clipper and cold front brings another round of snow and
breezy north winds into the area tonight into Wednesday morning. A
sharp baroclinic zone remains draped across eastern North Dakota and
northwest Minnesota through the remainder of this week, with Arctic
air to the northeast and a much warmer air mass to the southwest.
Shortwaves continue to traverse the flow pattern heading into the
New Year. Temperatures across southeast North Dakota will be
potentially much warmer than temps in northwest Minnesota through at
least Sunday.

...Light Snow and Wintry Mix This Morning...

Cold air remains in place at the surface as warm air moves into the
region at the 850mb to 700mb levels. Temperature profiles aloft
support minimal dendrite growth as the morning progresses, with the
likelihood of a wintry mix or light freezing rain developing as
sunrise approaches. Much of the moisture, associated with the
system, will have fallen by that point, however, thus limiting the
impact potential.

...Light Snow and Wind Tonight into Wednesday Morning...

A fast moving clipper brings cold air and light snow back into the
area tonight into Wednesday morning. At this time, there is a 40
percent chance of Advisory impacts across parts of northeast North
Dakota, the Red River Valley, and portions of northwest Minnesota.
Snowfall potential looks to be somewhat low, with a 40 percent
chance of 2 or more inches of snow. Winds will be a concern,
however, as sustained north winds of 15-20 mph are possible, with
gusts up to 30 mph. As such, blowing snow will be possible through
at least midday Wednesday. The probability for Blizzard conditions
looks low at this time; however, visibility reductions remain a
concern for areas that receive new snowfall.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 518 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

IFR conditions prevail at KBJI this morning, with MVFR at KGFK,
KFAR, and KTVF. Light snow will continue to bring occasional IFR
visibility and ceilings to KTVF through the next several hours.
Partial clearing is expected later this morning, with clouds
increasing once more heading into the afternoon and evening. A
cold front will bring another chance for snow late tonight into
Wednesday morning. LLWS remains in the TAF for KGFK, KFAR, and
KDVL through mid morning. Look for a wind shift from south to
northwest this morning, with gusts up to 25 knots through early
afternoon.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...Lynch