411
FXUS63 KFGF 050258
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
958 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A bit of lingering light snow over west central Minnesota
  tapering off this evening, otherwise impacts remain low over
  the next seven days.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 955 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

Snow has ended in our area, ushering in clear skies and quiet
conditions.

UPDATE
Issued at 639 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

Light snow still working its way east through west-central MN.
An area of widely scattered light snow showers trails behind
within portions of eastern ND into northwest MN. These showers
will end near or just after sunset with loss of daytime heating.

Ultimately, no impacts are expected from this activity given
warm ground temperatures and light snow rates.

Skies clear tonight, with a light breeze lingering to help mute
the chance for fog tonight.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...Synopsis...

Fairly vigorous shortwave has been digging into western ND
today, and will shift off into MN tonight. Some mid level
frontogenesis continues to weaken across southeastern North
Dakota into west central Minnesota this afternoon, and light
snow band will continue to diminish into this evening as this
pushes eastward. Snow has been melting as it reaches the ground,
but if some surfaces remain wet a bit longer this evening than
expected and temps drop quickly, there could be some slick spots
on untreated surfaces. Another, weaker shortwave will dig down
from Canada into Lake of the Woods area tomorrow, so kept some
low POPs in our far northeast. Another shortwave comes down
Sunday, but probabilities for anything measurable are at zero
according to the NBM. West to northwest flow will become more of
a ridge by Tuesday, with temperatures by the end of next week
climbing to above average values. Will have to keep an eye on
how fast conditions dry out and how fast winds pick up on some
days. But for now the hot dry windy index only has about a 50
percent chance of exceeding the 75th percentile, and minimal
chance to exceed the 90th. Will just keep an eye on fire weather
conditions for now.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 639 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

Area of light snow and MVFR/IFR CIGs continues to push southeast
through west-central MN before 06Z. Otherwise, no impacts to
aviation are anticipated with skies clearing tonight, and light
winds out of the west-northwest around 7 kt.

Saturday will also be rather uneventful with slight increase in
winds out of the west around 15 kt, with daytime cumulus
developing between 17-00Z. There is a 20% chance cumulus touches
MVFR within northwest MN.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...CJ
DISCUSSION...JR
AVIATION...CJ