993
FXUS63 KFGF 072022
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
222 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light snow is possible tonight into Saturday morning. Most
  areas west of the Red River Valley could see a dusting to near
  1 inch, with higher spots in the 1-3 inch range from the
  Devils Lake Basin to the Sheyenne Valley.

- Lake effect snow is possible along the south shore of Lake of
  the Woods Saturday afternoon and evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

...Synopsis...

Another round of light snow is possible tonight into Saturday
morning as H5 low pressure moves southeast out of Saskatchewan and
into the Northern Plains. Look for generally light amounts of snow
for areas west of the Red River Valley, with a few spots possibly
seeing 1-3 inches of snow. Much colder air will continue flowing
into the area tonight through Sunday, with highs both days likely
not reaching the 30 degree mark. Lows each morning are expected to
be in the teens to near 20 degrees. Warmer temperatures follow to
start next week as highs rebound into the middle 30s on Monday and
into the 40s to near 50 degrees on Tuesday. There are minimal
chances for precipitation through much of next week.

...Snow Tonight into Saturday Morning...

H5 shortwave has moved east of the area this afternoon, with an
upper low approaching from the northwest. This will be the source of
the next round of precipitation expected tonight into Saturday as it
interacts with a much larger H5 low, situated just south of the
Hudson Bay. Soundings indicate the development of a deep DGZ this
evening and overnight, especially for parts of the area west of a
line from Devils Lake to Valley City. CAMs differ slightly from the
ensemble solutions at this time, mainly with regards to the upper
limit of snowfall. There is strong ensemble support for up to about
1 inch of snow; however, there is increasing mesoscale support for
higher amounts in the range of 1-3 inches.

...Lake Effect Snow around Lake of the Woods Sat into Sun...

Persistent north winds are set to impact Lake of the Woods this
weekend, especially Saturday evening through Sunday. During this
time, cold air will blow across the warm lake waters, increasing
lapse rates and allowing periods of light to moderate snow. Areas
along the southern shore of the Lake will see the highest chances
for accumulation. Periods of low visibility are possible with these
snow showers.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1125 AM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

MVFR ceilings prevail at all TAF sites at midday. Heading into
the afternoon and evening, ceilings are expected to maintain
MVFR heights, along with north winds at 15 to 20 mph and gusts
to near 30 mph. Winds will gradually diminish later this
evening. A stray snow shower or two is possible through early
this afternoon, but is not expected to impact aviation.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...Lynch