096
FXUS63 KFGF 072325
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
625 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Freeze warning impacts late tonight into early Wednesday
  morning over portions of the Red River Valley into northwest
  Minnesota.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 623 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Clear skies continue this evening as the sun begins to set.
Freeze conditions are still expected to develop, with the
greatest chances in northwest Minnesota where winds will be
weakest. No other weather impacts will develop.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 353 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

...Synopsis...

Strong subsidence and surface high pressure will maintain dry
conditions through late week. This will promote efficient
radiational cooling in a cool air mass in the heart of the
surface high that will migrate into central Minnesota by
Wednesday morning. This will drive freezing temperatures into
the upper 20s for locations mainly east of the Red River Valley.

Very dry air and increasing southerly winds will bring
potential for near critical fire weather conditions for
Minnesota locations east of Highway 59 corridor Wednesday
afternoon. Should winds look to exceed 15 mph, near critical
fire weather conditions will ensue.

Into late this week, warming trend is still on track as upper
ridging builds into the central CONUS into south-central CAN,
with a brief halt in warming around Friday as a weak cold front
moves through. With upper ridging building this weekend,
southwest flow aloft is progged by late weekend. This will
promote increased moisture into the Northern Plains, and bring
our next chance for precipitation. At this time, there are no
signals for impactful weather from this chance of precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 623 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Southerly winds will continue to build eastward through the
evening hours. Winds will peak tomorrow afternoon with gusts as
high as 30 knots at times. Skies will remain VFR and mostly
clear for the entire TAF period.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Wednesday for
     NDZ008-016-027-029-030.
MN...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Wednesday for
     MNZ001-002-004>009-013>017-022>024-027-028-031-032.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Perroux
DISCUSSION...CJ
AVIATION...Perroux