Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FNUS72 KFFC 210214
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Spot Forecast for CHB Longleaf/Loblolly Woods...Ga State Parks
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
914 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry, breezy, and chilly conditions can be expected on Friday.
Temperatures will warm from the low-to-mid 30s at sunrise to the
mid 40s by 11 AM. High temperatures should reach the lower 50s by
afternoon. Gusty northwest winds can be expected through the day,
sustained as high as 10-12 mph with gusts up to 25 mph at times.
Winds will then gradually diminish after sunset. Skies will be
mostly clear with mixing heights reaching near 4000 feet. Minimum
relative humidity values are forecast to dip into the mid 40
percent range Friday afternoon.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 23 mph.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................49 to 78.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......20 late in the morning.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   7   6   6   6   5   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  48  49  51  51  51  49
RH..............59  54  50  47  46  47  51
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  12  11  10   9
20 FT wind gust.22  22  22  25  23  21  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.23  21  17  18  18  18  15
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............78  73  65  67  70  69  49
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   5   5
Ceiling (kft)...20  20  20

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 6.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   6   6   6   6   7   11  12  14  15  16  16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  44  42  40  39  38  38  37  36  36  35  34
RH..............59  67  73  78  82  85  87  88  90  92  94  96
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   5   5   5   5   3   3   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.17  16  15  15  14  13  13  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  6   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   8
ADI.............6   3   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....5   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Ceiling (kft)...

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then becoming
                    light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 12 mph increasing to 8 to Loblolly13 mph
                    late in the morning.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4 to 34.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  16  15  13  12  11  8   7   8   9   9   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  34  37  41  45  49  52  55  57  58  58  55
RH..............98  96  91  84  76  67  59  54  50  49  50  56
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.3   5   7   9   12  13  12  12  12  12  10  8
LVORI...........8   7   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   2   2
ADI.............4   5   7   12  26  29  33  34  34  33  30  19
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Ceiling (kft)...

$$
Forecaster...Willis
Requested by...Phil Delestrez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427137.0/FFC
.DELDT 11/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Phil.Delestrez@dnr.ga.gov