Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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737 FXUS62 KFFC 110002 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 802 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 753 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 - A cold front will bring additional widespread showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday into early Thursday. Some storms could be strong to severe. - Temperatures will remain well above normal (15 to 20+ degrees) through midweek, before cooler temperatures arrive in the wake of the cold front on Thursday. - Storm chances return again early Monday morning. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 The low clouds from this morning over north Georgia and the Atlanta metro have scattered out, with quick warming in its wake under partly to mostly sunny skies, even as the clouds are replaced by a building cumulus field. Isolated popup thunderstorms are possible over north Georgia into the Atlanta metro this afternoon and evening. The risk is highest over northeast Georgia, associated with orographic forcing. Southwest winds will continue, with speeds of around 6-12 mph. Low clouds could return overnight tonight, particularly in places that see showers or thunderstorms today. The risk for low clouds in overcast skies is significantly lower in portions of N GA and the Atlanta metro that do not see precipitation. Over central Georgia, the southwest flow will pull gulf moisture into some parts of the region, particularly over west central Georgia, bringing additional clouds to that area. Overnight low temperatures will be in the upper 50s to upper 60s. Clouds will scatter out again tomorrow around midday. Southwest winds remain in place, with speeds of around 10-15 mph, and gusts to around 20-25 mph possible. Popup convection is not expected tomorrow afternoon ahead of the frontal boundary that will bring unsettled conditions to the region during the late night Wednesday night/early Thursday morning. Daytime highs will be in the low 70s to near 90, continuing the trend of maxima being around 15-20F higher than average. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday morning through next Monday) Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 Extended forecast period gets a running start with a cold front impacting the area Thursday morning. Although, some model guidance is quick to push convection into northwest Georgia late Wednesday, the latest consensus evolves a little more slowly through the overnight and morning periods. At this time, SPC has outlooked north and western Georgia (generally along and north of I-85) in a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather through the overnight/early Thursday period. The severe threat, though Marginal, is greatest over far northwest Georgia. In general, given the timing of the front through the area, anticipate an overall weakening trend as the line of storms moves from northwest to southeast through Thursday morning. Total rainfall with this system ranges from 0.5 to 1.0 inches, and the WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook remains Marginal (level 1 of 4) for north Georgia. In the wake of the cold front, expect a brief return to more seasonal temperatures, with lows in the 30s and 40s and highs in the 60s to low 70s on Friday. A gradual warm up is expected through Sunday before the next system impacts the area early Monday. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 753 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 Isolated light SHRA/TSRA is ongoing across portions of north Georgia, including near RYY/PDK/AHN and should continue until around 02Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist across much of the area through much of the overnight hours. IFR clouds and lowered visibilities between 4-6 SM will be possible in the morning in areas of north Georgia where precip occurs/has occurred, and may spread as far south as ATL between 11-14Z. MVFR clouds will then be possible between 14-17Z before being replaced by a VFR cu field. Winds will be SW through the period, at 5 kts or less overnight and increasing to 6-12 kts with occasional gusts as high as 20 kts possible in the afternoon. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... Medium confidence on timing of lower clouds. High confidence on all other elements. King && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 63 83 55 63 / 10 0 70 60 Atlanta 63 82 50 60 / 10 0 90 50 Blairsville 59 78 42 54 / 20 0 90 40 Cartersville 62 82 45 58 / 10 10 90 40 Columbus 62 85 54 66 / 0 0 80 60 Gainesville 63 81 51 61 / 20 0 90 50 Macon 62 87 57 69 / 0 0 50 80 Rome 66 84 50 63 / 10 10 100 30 Peachtree City 61 82 48 61 / 10 0 90 60 Vidalia 64 90 64 74 / 0 0 10 90 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...CRS LONG TERM....31 AVIATION...King