998
FXUS62 KFFC 031044
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
644 AM EDT Sun May 3 2026



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Frost Advisory in effect for the NE Georgia mountains and valleys.
  Please take actions to protect any sensitive vegetation.

- Below average temperatures to start the week by as much as 5 to
  10 degrees. Sunday and Monday morning will be the coldest.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances return mid next week, though
  exact location, timing and intensity remains uncertain.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 310 AM EDT Sun May 3 2026

Current satellite loop shows old frontal system off the GA coast
with mostly clear skies across the state. High pressure is
building into the region from the mid MS river valley and is
expected to become centered over GA later this afternoon/evening.
Along with the ridge, a much drier airmass is filtering into the
area which will keep Relative Humidity values below critical
thresholds today. Combined with NW winds in the 5-10mph range and
dry fuel moistures, we will see conditions suitable for fire
weather concerns across portions of north and west central GA. See
the fire danger statement for more information. This ridge is
expected to continue to dominate the weather pattern into the
beginning of the extended periods keeping north and central GA
dry.

Cooler temps are also pushing into the area with lows this morning
expected mainly in the 40s with some 30s across the NE GA
mountains. With temps this low we could see some frost across NE
GA so issued a frost advisory. Temps will get back up into the
60s and 70s today with lows dipping back down into the 40s for Mon
morning. Temps then rebound to near normal Mon with highs in the
70s to near 80.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 310 AM EDT Sun May 3 2026

The primary weather feature to monitor in the long term will be the
evolution of a low pressure system and attendant cold front that
will sweep through the region between Wednesday and Thursday. Up
until that point surface high pressure and a subtropical ridge will
promote mostly dry weather conditions and seasonal temperatures for
North and Central Georgia. Though as we approach mid-week, our focus
will be on the developing weather system to our west. No additional
insights to add compared to the previous forecast. Latest ensembles
(ENS/GEFS) paint the highest QPF probabilities across North GA with
lower probabilities further south and east. This aligns with the
slower moving system and slightly stronger influence of the ridge
pattern that will be in place. Additionally, better upper level
support and instability still look to remain to our west at this
time. Things are certainly subject to change and we should begin to
have a clearer picture in the coming days.

In wake of this mid-to-late week system, seasonably cool weather
returns with forecast highs in the 70s to low 80s and lows in the
40s and 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM EDT Sun May 3 2026

Clear skies with no precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs
expected. Winds will stay out of the W to NW at 10kt or less.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  46  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         71  50  78  54 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     66  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    71  44  80  52 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        73  47  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     70  48  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           73  46  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            72  43  80  51 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  72  45  79  50 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         75  51  80  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for GAZ006>009-
014>016.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...01