932
FXUS62 KFFC 050921
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
421 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025



...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 407 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

 - Well above normal temperatures through the weekend.

 - Showers and a few storms likely this afternoon and evening and
   again Thursday afternoon. Strong or severe storms not expected.

 - Unsettled pattern with chances for showers becoming more
   widespread early next week.

 - Slightly cooler temperatures early next week due to possible
   cold air damming pattern over north and northeast Georgia.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 407 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

No significant forecast concerns or weather impacts expected in
the short term period.

Clouds with scattered showers and even a few storms will spread
across north Georgia late this afternoon and evening. No heavy
rain expected with amounts through Thursday only averaging around
0.25 to 0.50 inches. However, instability should be sufficient
for some convection. Instability and low and mid level shear will
be insufficient for any strong to severe storms. If any threat
for marginally strong storms were to materialize, it would be over
far NW counties during the evening. Further south, over middle
Georgia, should remain dry but could see some isolated showers.

Precip coverage expected to decrease after midnight tonight but
still some chance over the far north. With E-W oriented
baroclinic zone lingering across TN near the state line and fast
zonal, likely will see another batch of showers and some
thunderstorms Thursday afternoon.

SNELSON


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 407 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

A quasi-zonal upper pattern will continue through the period. The
upper pattern supports a rapid succession of weak frontal systems
clipping the area or moving into the area and becoming diffuse. A
very slow-moving upper low over NE Mexico and the W Gulf will
spread increasing PWATs northward into the stronger W-E flow. As a
result of this and periodic weak frontal forcing and modest
instability, scattered showers will continue through Friday. A few
thunderstorms are possible across N GA Thursday evening with
MUCAPES around 500 J/kg, but strong to severe storms are not
anticipated. Storm total rainfall amounts during this period will
range from around a half inch across N GA to a few hundredths (or
less) S of Macon. After a brief break in the precip, showers will
return Saturday night and Sunday with around a tenth of an inch
across N GA.

The aforementioned upper low will eventually lift NE by early
next week as upper flow becomes more SW. At the surface, a more
significant frontal system will approach the area, with more
significant rainfall possible.

Temperatures are forecast to remain above normal through the
weekend. Temperatures will be around 20 degrees above normal
through Sunday. By early next week, temperatures will be slightly
cooler, particularly for daytime highs due to increased cloud
cover. /SEC

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

VFR conditions early this morning but 4kft cigs over western
Georgia will spread east toward ATL metro airports around 09Z.
Elsewhere over east and middle Georgia could see some patchy IFR
cigs and MVFR vsbys due to radiational fog including KMCN. MVFR to
IFR cigs expected after sunset as light rain moves in, more likely
over north Georgia airports. Winds will be very light overnight
then NE 3-5kt around 14Z then SE 4-7kts after 18Z.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium confidence on MFVR/IFR timing
High confidence on all other elements

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  51  74  59 /  50  70  20  40
Atlanta         69  55  73  60 /  50  60  30  60
Blairsville     66  51  67  53 /  50  70  60  80
Cartersville    69  55  74  57 /  70  60  30  70
Columbus        78  58  77  61 /  20  20  20  20
Gainesville     66  52  71  59 /  60  70  30  60
Macon           78  57  78  60 /  10  30  10  20
Rome            69  56  73  55 /  70  60  40  80
Peachtree City  72  57  74  60 /  40  50  20  50
Vidalia         79  58  80  60 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....SEC
AVIATION...SNELSON