511
FXUS62 KFFC 200122
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
922 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025



.UPDATE...
Issued at 856 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

High pressure and dry conditions will persist overnight. Partly to
mostly cloudy skies are expected overnight with cirrus streaming
in from the west. With the canopy of cirrus overhead, temperatures
will be about 5 to 7 degrees warmer than last nights values.
Forecast looks to be on track and will only make some minor tweaks
to the hourly temp/dew curves.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Subtropical ridging continues to bring well above normal
temperatures with highs peaking well into the mid to upper 80s this
afternoon. Atlanta could still make a run for a record daily high
later this afternoon (currently stands at 88 from 1941), though it
may fall just short. Not much change in the overall pattern will
occur through Sunday as the ridge only begins to flatten slightly
southeastward in advance of a cold front pushing into the
Mississippi Valley. This will bring another day of well above normal
temperatures on Sunday, though highs may be a degree or two cooler
given a bit more in the way of cloud cover. As such, record daily
highs look fairly likely to be safe on Sunday, though temperatures
will still run some 8-13 degrees above normal.

With continued southerly flow on Sunday, fire danger conditions are
again not expected on Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

No significant weather expected in the long term period. As front
or pre-frontal trough moves in Tuesday, should see more coverage
of SHRA/TSRA but sfc forcing and instability somewhat weak and
vertical shear is very weak. Not expecting any strong or severe
convection but will continue to monitor.

Front expected to stall over far north Georgia the rest of the
week while upper ridge over the Gulf and southern states
continues to build. PoPs only 20-30% over far north GA Wed-Fri.
Heavy rain not expected but amounts around an inch may be possible
in some stronger storms.

SNELSON

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Wind direction will be the main forecast challenge and will want
to go back and forth around due south. The prevailing wind
direction for the next few hours should be around 190 and then go
over to around 170 after 04-06Z.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Med confidence wind direction. High confidence remaining elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          57  86  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         60  87  64  85 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     52  83  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    55  88  63  86 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        57  88  62  86 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     57  86  63  83 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           57  88  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            54  87  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  53  87  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         60  89  60  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....SNELSON
AVIATION...NListemaa