Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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FXUS62 KFFC 051842
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
142 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 125 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
- Rounds of light rainfall will remain possible in Middle
Georgia through Saturday, with primarily cloudy conditions
for areas farther north.
- Rain chances will return Wednesday evening into Thursday.
- Neither system carries a risk for severe weather or
flooding.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 125 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
Cloudy and cool conditions will largely prevail through the short
term with additional periods of light rain expected across Middle
Georgia through Saturday night. This forecast comes courtesy of
continued persistent southwest flow aloft and perturbations within
leading to aforementioned rounds of rainfall. Still, despite the
gloomy and damp feeling, additional rain will be on the lighter
side, with forecast QPF on the order of a few hundredths to a
third of an inch across Middle Georgia through Sunday morning. The
bulk of this additional rainfall will be areas generally along
and south of a Columbus to Macon line with only a bit of spotty
light rain possible farther north. Otherwise, in the wake of the
departing upper wave Saturday afternoon/evening, some clearing
skies are likely across north Georgia by late Saturday.
Clouds will impact temperatures tonight into Saturday, keeping
Saturday morning lows near to slightly above average, ranging from
the mid 30s to mid 40s, while highs Saturday will remain several
degrees below normal, largely in the low to mid 50s. Given the
expected clearing across north Georgia Saturday night, Sunday
morning lows near or below freezing will make a return for many
spots in north Georgia.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 125 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
Previous discussion follows.
We pick up the long term on Sunday morning where rain and showers
will still be ongoing across central Georgia. Complex upper level
pattern will continue to evolve into Monday. Upper level jet is
bifurcated with clear northern and southern branches. Impulse
within the southern branch will be clearing the CWA by Saturday
night, but southwest flow will remain over the area keeping
moisture around and shower chances in place through the day on
Sunday across north and central Georgia. Some questions remain on
just how far north that moisture will be able to get - ensembles
lean towards another wave of rain that primarily impacts central
Georgia.
Yet another shortwave will dig within the southern branch into
the area Monday. This system may struggle to access moisture, but
models do indicated some chance of seeing a few more showers
before a cold front pushes through the area. This will finally
bring an end to a very wet and miserable weekend for many in north
and central Georgia, but not before central Georgia gets a much
needed 1-2" of rainfall. Colder air will filter in and skies will
clear, bringing lows below freezing across much of the CWA for
Tuesday morning. There is a decent chance some folks might even
see that bright ball of light in the sky on Tuesday as high
pressure settles over us and temperatures warm into the 50s.
Another quick hitting system may be possible by Wednesday evening
into Thursday as another front approaches the area associated
with a larger system moving over the Great Lakes. A lot of model
differences across the ensembles as to whether this frontal
passage will be dry - for now, just worth monitoring.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
IFR cigs will prevail through today into tonight with areas of
LIFR cigs again becoming more likely after 04-06Z alongside 3-6SM
and patchy lower vsbys. Cigs/vsbys will gradually improve 12-15Z
Saturday with MVFR cigs more likely by 15Z. VFR cigs become more
likely by 20-22Z Saturday at ATL/AHN area sites. -RA will
primarily be limited to MCN/CSG. Light/vrb winds will trend to NW
and persist from NW/W through the period at 3-6 kts.
//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence in cig timing Saturday.
High confidence on other elements.
RW
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens 40 51 32 54 / 20 30 10 20
Atlanta 41 51 35 54 / 20 30 10 20
Blairsville 35 48 30 52 / 0 0 0 10
Cartersville 37 51 31 55 / 10 20 0 20
Columbus 44 53 40 57 / 50 70 20 30
Gainesville 41 51 33 54 / 10 20 10 20
Macon 44 53 38 55 / 50 80 20 20
Rome 39 55 34 59 / 0 10 0 20
Peachtree City 40 52 33 55 / 30 40 10 20
Vidalia 48 55 42 57 / 70 90 40 30
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...RW