367
FXUS62 KFFC 291927
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
227 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 215 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

 - Dry, hazardous fire weather conditions will continue into the
   evening.

 - Waves of rainfall are expected tomorrow through Tuesday, with
   the possibility (30-40% chance) of light freezing rain in the
   northeast Georgia mountains overnight tonight into early
   tomorrow morning.

 - Another wave of rainfall is expected on Friday.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 215 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

A Fire Danger Statement is in effect across much of the County
Warning Area (CWA) through this evening due to the combination of
dry fuels, low relative humidity, and/or gusty winds. Gusty
conditions will continue overnight across parts of north Georgia
(especially in the higher terrain) with sustained winds at 10-15
mph and gusts at 25-30 mph.

Isolated to scattered showers will begin across far north Georgia
overnight as a cold front and associated moisture approach. A
cold air damming wedge will remain across much of the CWA as the
high pressure that has been in place for the last couple days
shifts eastward, which will support surface temperatures in the
lower 30s to mid-30s across northeast and parts of east-central
Georgia. As a result, precip may begin as freezing rain in the
northeast Georgia mountains, where temperatures will be freezing
(even a few degrees below) and hi-res forecast soundings depict a
tell-tale freezing rain profile (saturated low-levels with a "warm
nose"). Accumulations continue to look minimal -- well under 0.1
inch -- and confined to elevations of 2500 feet or higher.

Scattered to widespread showers will shift southward across the
remainder of north Georgia through the morning and afternoon
tomorrow, perhaps pushing as far south as parts of Middle Georgia.
The parent low pressure system driving the front and rainfall
will be over eastern Canada and the Northeast CONUS, so the
front`s progression will likely slow before it can make a full
pass through the CWA. As a result, parts of central Georgia may
end up rain-free tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 215 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

The long term outlook, starting on Monday, can be summed up as
modestly wet. Several modest shortwaves traversing the southeast
over the next week will bring several rounds of rainshowers Monday
into Tuesday, and Thursday into Friday. Mid and upper level
southwest flow between each system will continue to pump moisture
into the area, holding PWATs over 1". This may not sound all that
impressive, and it`s not in the grand scheme of things, however
this will be more than adequate to maintain wet conditions for
much of the period. Model guidance remains consistent in QPF
through weeks end with 1-2 inches likely across the region Monday
through Wednesday. This seems reasonable given the PWATs, decent
forcing, and cool temperatures. Wet conditions will be greatly
appreciated in dealing with continued drought across central
Georgia, with Thursday and Friday`s axis of precipitation more
impactful to the driest areas.

Speaking of temperatures, Highs will remain moderated during
times of precip and cloud cover. North Georgia can expect highs
mostly in the 40s and 50s and central Georgia could see highs
reaching into the upper 60s to even low 70s. Lows will remain
cool, dropping to the 30s and 40s for most, though post-frontal
conditions on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning may see temps
fall into the upper 20s and low 30s for the northern 2/3rds of
the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Expecting VFR conditions to prevail until around daybreak
tomorrow (Sunday), after which point CIGs will drop to MVFR/IFR
ahead of and with a front moving through. SHRA (with possible
reductions in VIS) associated with the front will begin across
metro Atlanta and at AHN around mid-morning. The potential for TS
is essentially zero. Winds will be E to SE at 5-10 kts through
early this evening, with gusts up to ~20 kts. Winds will go light
to calm overnight, remaining light and potentially variable in
direction tomorrow as the front moves through.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium to high confidence on all elements.

Martin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          36  52  38  53 /  10  40  20  20
Atlanta         39  52  37  54 /  10  40  20  40
Blairsville     31  48  28  50 /  40  60  10  30
Cartersville    38  51  30  54 /  20  60  10  40
Columbus        42  64  44  62 /   0  30  20  40
Gainesville     36  49  37  51 /  20  50  20  30
Macon           38  65  43  62 /   0  20  10  20
Rome            41  54  32  56 /  30  60  10  40
Peachtree City  37  56  37  56 /  10  40  20  40
Vidalia         41  69  47  65 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Martin
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Martin