569
FXUS62 KFFC 192003
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
303 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Above normal temperatures will stick around into next week.
   Highs will be 10-15 degrees above average through the weekend.
   A few record highs may tumble over the coming days at climate
   sites.

 - Light rainfall is possible across north Georgia Thursday
   evening into the overnight. Another round is possible Friday
   evening into Saturday morning, though this likely won`t be
   heavy enough to lead to drought improvement.

 - A system may bring widespread rain and possibly a few storms to
   the area on Monday night into Tuesday. Uncertainty remains
   around timing and rainfall amounts.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 252 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

Some afternoon cloud cover continues to linger over portions of
western Georgia and the metro along a stalled, weak boundary that
brought some light rain showers to parts of northern Georgia this
morning. Moisture is pooling along it thanks to surface high
pressure within the Gulf bringing W to SW winds into the area.
Moisture advection should continue into the night, bringing some fog
chances into the CWA. Highest probabilities of seeing some
impactful, dense fog will be in central Georgia, but could see fog
make its way further north into the metro. Dense Fog Advisory
issuance may be needed with this - will put probability of seeing
one in parts of central GA near 70%, and closer to 30% as you get
into metro Atlanta (less further north). The one exception further
north may be the valleys of NE GA, where pooling of cold air may
lead to some valley fog.

Tomorrow, split flow aloft will be in place with two separate
systems creating a complex moisture draw near the area. Deep trough
out west that has subtropical connections with a shortwave rotating
through it emerges into Texas, with some weak cyclogenesis at the
surface taking place that will aid in drawing up some moisture to
our west. To our north, the polar jet will have a sharp wave diving
into the upper midwest and through the Great Lakes that may begin to
tap into the moisture drawn up from the more southern system. The
end result isn`t as impressive as the build up may sound - some rain
showers may be possible Thursday evening into the overnight hours
across northern Georgia, but overall probabilities are low (~30%).
Rainfall amounts should be light.

Otherwise it will remain unseasonably warm. Highs today will top out
in the 70s and even some 80s, though areas of western GA and the
metro may "under perform" forecast highs thanks to cloud cover
lingering a bit longer than expected. Similar story tomorrow, with
highs in the 70s and 80s that represents a 10-15+ degree departure
from average.

Lusk

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday morning through next Tuesday)
Issued at 252 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

The extended periods start off with weak ridging across the state
keeping things dry but that will be short lived. Weakening high
pressure centered off the eastern seaboard keeps a warm frontal
boundary north of the state through early Fri morning. This ridging
will allow temps to reach into the upper 70s to the lower 80s across
much of the area Fri.

The next frontal system will push into the lower to mid MS river
valley with deeper moisture knocking on NW Georgia`s doorstep
shortly after sunrise Fri. Warm moist SW flow sets up ahead of this
frontal boundary which will also help increase those daytime highs
Friday. Looks like showers will begin to push into NW GA around Mid
day slowly moving SE across the state through Saturday night. We
should mainly see showers and isolated thunderstorms with this
system as instability indices are really not that great with this
system. Anticipating some gusty winds along the front with any
stronger storms but not expecting any severe weather. Things clear
out behind this front Sunday with increasing clouds again Monday
ahead of the second frontal boundary.

The next frontal boundary begins developing across the southern
plains Sunday as a closed low center moves NE into OK Monday
morning. The low center continues moving NE into the western great
lake states by daybreak Tuesday. Its associated cold front begins
pushing showers into North GA Monday night with the frontal boundary
swinging through the region Tuesday. This front move SE of the CWA
by Wed morning with decreasing clouds.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

Some MVFR to low VFR cigs affecting some metro TAF sites and CSG
at the start of the TAf period. Expectation is that these should
begin to scatter some through the next several hours. Winds this
afternoon are W to WSW at 5-10 kts, some gusts above 15 kts. Winds
go light to calm overnight. Could see area of BR/FG build in from
south along with some IFR (or possibly LIFR) cloud cover tonight.
Have introduced TEMPO for IFR cigs and MVFR vsby during 11Z-14Z
when impacts are most likely. Medium confidence on these making it
into the metro TAF sites.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium Thursday morning cigs/vsby, high all others.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          53  76  57  78 /   0   0  10  10
Atlanta         58  78  60  77 /   0  10  10  20
Blairsville     49  72  54  71 /   0  10  30  30
Cartersville    55  77  58  77 /   0  10  10  30
Columbus        57  82  57  80 /   0   0   0  10
Gainesville     54  76  57  76 /   0  10  20  20
Macon           56  80  57  80 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            58  80  60  78 /   0  10  20  30
Peachtree City  56  79  57  78 /   0   0   0  10
Vidalia         58  81  58  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...Lusk