759
FXUS62 KFFC 222356
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
656 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 226 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

A midlevel shortwave traversing the area is bringing little more
than an increase in broken to overcast cloud cover from west to east
this afternoon. While temperatures have rebounded nicely so far
today, these increasing clouds will serve to limit much additional
heating across the northwest third or so of the area through the
remainder of the afternoon. Elsewhere, temperatures farther
southeast will continue to warm a few more degrees over the next
couple of hours. Additionally, based on the delayed arrival of cloud
cover and observations, dewpoints and resultant RH values were
lowered through the remainder of the afternoon. Clouds will
gradually diminish from northwest to southeast late this evening. A
return to clearer skies and calm winds will allow for efficient
radiational cooling and one more night of widespread subfreezing
low temperatures.

After a cold morning, temperatures will rebound quickly through
midday Sunday. Meanwhile, an emergent weak coastal low along the
northern Gulf coast will slide eastward from near the Louisiana
coastline Sunday afternoon to offshore the Florida panhandle by
early Monday morning. While the bulk of the more notable rainfall
will remain closer to the coastline, light rain showers will
increase primarily across southern zones from late Sunday evening
through early Monday morning, though a few sprinkles or very light
rain could briefly reach as far north as near the I-20 corridor. QPF
will be light, with probabilities favoring well under a tenth of an
inch for most, though a few areas along the southern tier could
breach the tenth of an inch mark. While chilly, temperatures will
remain above freezing where precipitation falls, though spots in far
north Georgia removed from the denser cloud cover will likely again
dip below freezing by early Monday morning.

RW

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 226 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Key Messages:

- Springlike conditions with a quick chance for rain on Thursday. No
severe weather expected.

Weak upper level northwest flow makes up the majority of the
longterm outlook. Pwats remain below 0.7" through Wednesday with the
driest conditions on Tuesday. No well defined system moves into the
area until the Thursday timeframe when a stronger polar trough moves
across the eastern CONUS. The main region for lifting dynamics
remains well to the north of the CWA, though a dragging cold front
will likely trigger a broken/weak line of showers. Model trends have
decreased PoPs on Thursday significantly over the last 48 hrs of
model runs. Overall moisture peaks with the front to around 1" and
CAPE values will struggle to even reach 100 J/Kg. Depending on the
timing there could be some stray thunder embedded in the line. Post
frontal conditions will be short lived and temperatures quickly
bounce back into the 60s.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 652 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

VFR conds to continue thru the TAF pd. Cigs initially BKN-OVC at
6-8kft will give way to SKC overnight. Expect FEW-SCT at 15-25kft
to return by 16-18Z. Winds will remain light out of the WNW to NW
at 7kts or less, and may be CALM to VRB overnight.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
High confidence all elements.

96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          29  59  36  63 /   0   0  10   0
Atlanta         30  56  38  62 /   0   0  20  10
Blairsville     23  54  28  61 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    25  55  32  62 /   0   0  10   0
Columbus        31  59  41  65 /   0  10  40  10
Gainesville     29  57  35  62 /   0   0  10   0
Macon           31  61  41  63 /   0   0  40  20
Rome            24  55  30  63 /   0   0  10   0
Peachtree City  28  57  36  62 /   0   0  30  10
Vidalia         36  64  45  64 /   0   0  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...96