Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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034 FXUS62 KFFC 041749 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 149 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026 ...New 18Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... - Shower and thunderstorm chances return mid week (Wednesday and Thursday). There is high uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of any precipitation. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026 High pressure across the region will keep mostly clear skies over the state today with some increasing clouds Tuesday. The ridge is elongated with the axis angled from NE to SW across central GA. The main center of the ridge moves east through the day and slowly weakens its grip on the state through Tuesday afternoon. We will see increasing cloud cover from the NW ahead of the next system that will bring increased precip chances to the state in the extended periods. Dry conditions will continue with minimum Relative Humidity values slowly increasing in the short term. With the ridge slowly moving out the winds turn to the SW allowing Gulf moisture to slowly increase across the region. RH values will dip down into the lower 30s today but with the light SW winds a fire danger statement should not be needed. The RH values will still need to be monitored today as the RH values could get very close to critical thresholds (<30%). RH values Tues will dip down into the upper 30% to lower 40% range so not expecting any fire weather concerns. One big thing this ridge will do is allow temps to rebound to near and slightly above seasonal norms. Will see temps today mainly in he 70s to near 80 with highs Tuesday in the upper 70s to middle 80s. Low temps will get down into the 50s Tue morning. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 219 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026 Another front is expected on Wednesday and into Thursday. While this front is still a few days out, models are in good agreement that plenty of instability will build during the day on Wednesday. Temperatures will climb into the low to mid 80s with dewpoints in the low 60s. The GFS forecast soundings, as a result generate enough instability to warrant us keeping a close eye on the forecast as it evolves over the next few days. Temperatures in the upper 70s and low 80s will cool falling the cold front Thursday into Friday. Highs will reach the 70s areawide and overnight lows in the 40s and low 50s. Rain chances may linger into the weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 146 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026 VFR through TAF period. A few passing high cirrus, otherwise no cigs, vsby, or wx concerns through end of TAF period. Winds are SW but variable at times, generally 4-8 kts. They should go light to calm overnight. During the early morning, predominate wind direction may briefly go to east side before going to the west side again in the afternoon (this is primarily impactful for KATL). //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... High all elements. Lusk && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 78 51 81 60 / 0 0 0 10 Atlanta 78 54 80 62 / 0 0 10 10 Blairsville 75 47 74 56 / 0 0 10 40 Cartersville 79 52 80 60 / 0 0 10 20 Columbus 78 51 82 60 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 78 52 79 61 / 0 0 10 20 Macon 78 52 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 79 51 80 61 / 0 0 10 30 Peachtree City 78 50 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 80 55 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...01 LONG TERM....Vaughn AVIATION...Lusk