Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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863 FXUS62 KFFC 050033 AAA AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 833 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 805 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected overnight, followed by a line of showers and storms pushing through the area early Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon. A few strong to severe storms with small hail and gusty winds will be possible. - A cold front behind the line of showers and storms will bring near-normal temperatures and dry conditions for next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 303 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 One last day of summer like conditions before we get a change in atmosphere to finish out the weekend. Today`s highs have climbed back into the 80s and the winds have turned southwest. A weak boundary across western GA could be the source for some lift that might spark a few thunderstorms; mostly along the I-85 corridor. A few of these storms could be on the stronger side with gusty winds and frequent lightning. Storm motion will generally be towards the NE out ahead of a more potent cold front that`s expected to enter the CWA around midnight. The best chance for severe weather with this front will be to the west of our CWA. SPC has painted the NW corner of GA with a Marginal Risk (1 of 4) but any severe weather will likely originate from outside our CWA. The front will move through Georgia through the night tonight and exit the area by late afternoon tomorrow. Despite how much we need the rain, this front doesn`t look like it`s going to contain the rainfall we need to be a drought buster. QPF totals may be as high as an inch across northern Georgia, but most of the CWA will less less than a half an inch. After the front moves through, we`re looking at another long dry stretch that will take us into the long term forecast. && .LONG TERM... (Monday morning through next Friday) Issued at 303 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 By the time the extended period begins on Monday, the front and associated precipitation will have exited the forecast area to the southeast. Northwesterly flow in the wake of the front will usher in a cooler and drier airmass on Monday. Temperatures on Monday will be near to just above daily normals. Lows will start out in the 40s in north Georgia (and upper 30s in the highest elevations) and low to mid 50s in central Georgia. Afternoon highs will them climb into the upper 60s to low 70s. Temperatures will be slightly warmer on Tuesday, at which time a surface high moves across the eastern CONUS to the north of the Georgia border, resulting in highs rising into the mid 70s. Drier air spreading into the area will also result in RH values ranging from 25-35% on Monday and Tuesday. Some locations in east Georgia could also see value drop below 25% for a couple of hours each afternoon. Wind speeds should be 8-12 mph and well outside of Red Flag criteria. However, with drying fuels and ongoing drought conditions across the area, the need for Fire Danger Statements will need to be monitored each day. Going into the middle of the week, a CAD wedge will set up over north Georgia as the high moves east of the Appalachians. Winds will shift to E at 12-15mph and gusts up to 25-30mph. Temperatures will also reflect the wedge with temps in the mid to upper 60s. Temperatures will begin to moderate on Thursday and continue rising through the end of the week. The high pressure regime will largely limit rain chances through the end of the week, with PoPs of 20% or less being confined to the far southern tier of the forecast area. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 805 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 Isolated/scattered SHRA and TSRA will persist across parts of N and CNTRL Georgia tonight ahead of a front approaching from the W. The front -- with a line of SHRA/TSRA in tow -- will push thru the area from NW to SE early in the morning through the afternoon. MVFR/IFR CIGs and reduced VIS will accompany the precip. Winds will shift from SSE/SSW overnight to SW in the morning and eventually NW by the afternoon/evening. Expecting that CIGs will improve to VFR by mid-afternoon for the northern sites and late afternoon for MCN and CSG. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... Medium confidence on timing of heaviest rain/lowest CIGs/lowest VIS at ATL. High confidence on all other elements. Martin && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 63 72 46 70 / 60 90 10 0 Atlanta 62 71 48 70 / 70 90 10 0 Blairsville 54 65 37 68 / 90 80 0 0 Cartersville 55 70 42 70 / 90 80 0 0 Columbus 63 73 48 71 / 30 80 20 0 Gainesville 62 71 45 71 / 80 80 10 0 Macon 64 77 50 71 / 20 80 20 0 Rome 57 72 45 73 / 90 80 0 0 Peachtree City 61 72 44 70 / 60 80 10 0 Vidalia 64 85 57 74 / 10 50 40 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Vaughn LONG TERM....King AVIATION...Martin