257
FXUS62 KFFC 022336
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
636 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026



...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 627 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026

- Rain will return late Friday through Saturday, with isolated
  thunderstorms possible mainly in central Georgia Saturday.

- The probability of severe thunderstorms is low. Rainfall totals
  will likely range from a half inch to an inch and a half.

- Temperatures will remain above-normal into next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 140 AM EST Fri Jan 2 2026

Expecting mostly dry conditions today before showers begin pushing
in late evening into early Saturday morning. Splitting of the
overall upper level pattern will lead to a shortwave pushing
through the main flow resulting in a surface low that will push
into the area into the day today. Will see cloud cover increase as
gulf moisture is advected into the area ahead of the low pressure
with mostly overcast skies expected today. As the low pushes
further east, will see a wave of showers push into the area. With
the latest runs of the CAMS, threat for any severe weather has
continued to decrease for this overnight push. Cannot rule out a
thunderstorm or two, but any severe activity (limited) should stay
confined to the Saturday afternoon and later timeframe. Will see
temps today and tomorrow top out in the upper 50s to low 60s. Lows
into Saturday morning will be in the upper 40s to low 50s with the
increased rainfall and cloud cover. Total rainfall amounts will
generally stay under an inch through overnight Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 140 AM EST Fri Jan 2 2026

Picking up the long term outlook Saturday, showers and a few
thunderstorms will continue through the day with accumulations
likely around a modes 0.5 to 1.25". The current forecast QPF band
may be too far north with the pattern likely instilling rain cooled
air across the northern CWA. This same fact will also limit severe
and thunderstorms potential north of a line from Columbus to Macon.
Peak CAPE values to the south likely won`t peak much more than 500
J/Kg, though local effects along the warm front may provide modest
effective SRH. Overall severe threat will be low, but will continue
to keep an eye on conditions.

As the shortwave energy pushes out of the area, upper level
northwest flow will hold the area in mostly dry and cool conditions
through to near the end of the outlook. A mid level shortwave over
the midwest may be enough to adjust flow and allow for some low end
PoPs in northwest GA, though this remains highly uncertain until we
get closer in.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 PM EST Fri Jan 2 2026

VFR ceilings lowering to IFR with precip moving in. Most TAF
locations should begin to see precip starting sometime between
02z-06z. Expecting SHRA to continue off and on through Sat
evening. As the precip moves in expecting MVFR ceilings to push in
by 04-08z with IFR ceilings moving in by 06z-09z. Once the IFR
ceilings move in they should stay until the precip moves out.
VSBYs will also fall. Winds are out of the SW and will turn to the
SE by 04-07z Winds will continue to turn to the E by daybreak
then NE by mid-day. Wind speeds expected to stay 10kt or less
through the period.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Confidence medium to high on all elements

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          47  55  39  58 / 100  70  10   0
Atlanta         51  60  42  57 / 100  70   0   0
Blairsville     41  52  36  55 /  90  40   0   0
Cartersville    47  58  39  56 / 100  50   0   0
Columbus        52  70  44  62 /  90  70  10   0
Gainesville     48  55  41  58 /  90  60   0   0
Macon           49  68  43  62 /  90  80  10   0
Rome            51  62  40  59 /  90  30   0   0
Peachtree City  49  63  41  59 / 100  70  10   0
Vidalia         49  69  45  60 /  60  80  40   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...01