Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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863
FXUS62 KFFC 050033 AAA
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
833 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026



...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 805 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected overnight,
   followed by a line of showers and storms pushing through the
   area early Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon. A few
   strong to severe storms with small hail and gusty winds will be
   possible.

 - A cold front behind the line of showers and storms will bring
   near-normal temperatures and dry conditions for next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

One last day of summer like conditions before we get a change in
atmosphere to finish out the weekend.

Today`s highs have climbed back into the 80s and the winds have
turned southwest. A weak boundary across western GA could be the
source for some lift that might spark a few thunderstorms; mostly
along the I-85 corridor. A few of these storms could be on the
stronger side with gusty winds and frequent lightning. Storm
motion will generally be towards the NE out ahead of a more potent
cold front that`s expected to enter the CWA around midnight.

The best chance for severe weather with this front will be to the
west of our CWA. SPC has painted the NW corner of GA with a
Marginal Risk (1 of 4) but any severe weather will likely
originate from outside our CWA. The front will move through
Georgia through the night tonight and exit the area by late
afternoon tomorrow.

Despite how much we need the rain, this front doesn`t look like
it`s going to contain the rainfall we need to be a drought buster.
QPF totals may be as high as an inch across northern Georgia, but
most of the CWA will less less than a half an inch. After the
front moves through, we`re looking at another long dry stretch
that will take us into the long term forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

By the time the extended period begins on Monday, the front and
associated precipitation will have exited the forecast area to the
southeast. Northwesterly flow in the wake of the front will usher
in a cooler and drier airmass on Monday. Temperatures on Monday
will be near to just above daily normals. Lows will start out in
the 40s in north Georgia (and upper 30s in the highest elevations)
and low to mid 50s in central Georgia. Afternoon highs will them
climb into the upper 60s to low 70s. Temperatures will be slightly
warmer on Tuesday, at which time a surface high moves across the
eastern CONUS to the north of the Georgia border, resulting in
highs rising into the mid 70s. Drier air spreading into the area
will also result in RH values ranging from 25-35% on Monday and
Tuesday. Some locations in east Georgia could also see value drop
below 25% for a couple of hours each afternoon. Wind speeds should
be 8-12 mph and well outside of Red Flag criteria. However, with
drying fuels and ongoing drought conditions across the area, the
need for Fire Danger Statements will need to be monitored each day.

Going into the middle of the week, a CAD wedge will set up over
north Georgia as the high moves east of the Appalachians. Winds
will shift to E at 12-15mph and gusts up to 25-30mph. Temperatures
will also reflect the wedge with temps in the mid to upper 60s.
Temperatures will begin to moderate on Thursday and continue
rising through the end of the week. The high pressure regime will
largely limit rain chances through the end of the week, with PoPs
of 20% or less being confined to the far southern tier of the
forecast area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 805 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Isolated/scattered SHRA and TSRA will persist across parts of N
and CNTRL Georgia tonight ahead of a front approaching from the W.
The front -- with a line of SHRA/TSRA in tow -- will push thru
the area from NW to SE early in the morning through the afternoon.
MVFR/IFR CIGs and reduced VIS will accompany the precip. Winds
will shift from SSE/SSW overnight to SW in the morning and
eventually NW by the afternoon/evening. Expecting that CIGs will
improve to VFR by mid-afternoon for the northern sites and late
afternoon for MCN and CSG.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Medium confidence on timing of heaviest rain/lowest CIGs/lowest
VIS at ATL. High confidence on all other elements.

Martin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          63  72  46  70 /  60  90  10   0
Atlanta         62  71  48  70 /  70  90  10   0
Blairsville     54  65  37  68 /  90  80   0   0
Cartersville    55  70  42  70 /  90  80   0   0
Columbus        63  73  48  71 /  30  80  20   0
Gainesville     62  71  45  71 /  80  80  10   0
Macon           64  77  50  71 /  20  80  20   0
Rome            57  72  45  73 /  90  80   0   0
Peachtree City  61  72  44  70 /  60  80  10   0
Vidalia         64  85  57  74 /  10  50  40  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...Martin