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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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522 FXUS62 KFFC 211956 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 256 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2025 ...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 255 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2025 500mb analysis shows just slightly northwest flow aloft across the state. Further west, a mid level way is ejecting out of the four corners region. This low will continue to move southeast through Saturday and fill. The remaining trough is expected to move through on Saturday. At the surface, high pressure is currently centered across the central part of the county. This high center will shift eastward through the period. By the end of the period, a low pressure system may begin to develop in the western Gulf. Temperatures will begin to moderate overnight and Saturday but remain below normal through the period. NListemaa && .LONG TERM... (Sunday morning through next Thursday) Issued at 255 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2025 Key Messages: - General warming trend through mid next week with highs climbing back toward the 70s. - Mostly dry pattern with limited PoPs until the later half of next week. Limited to no thunderstorm potential at this time. Generally northwest flow and high pressure expected through mid next week. High temps move to more springlike conditions of around 70 degrees. Mostly dry through the period with PWATs struggling to climb above 0.70" at any time. A quick clip by a passing gulf low may bring some showers to southern GA early next week, however this will likely avoid the CWA entirely. PoPs in the most southern counties of the warning area remain at or blow 10% Sunday night into Monday morning. Our next chance for precip comes alongside a descending cold front and upper level trough over the Great Lake region. Overall dynamics look unimpressive or well to the north and Ensemble CAPE probs of >100 J/Kg remain <10%. Anticipate a line of showers moving across the area late Wednesday to early Thursday. While generally unlikely, a few rumbles of thunder may also be possible. Given the weak nature of the front, temperatures may dip a little bit but not expecting a significant temperature swing going into next weekend. SM && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2025 VFR through the period. Winds will be light and variable this afternoon and overnight. Winds may try and pick up out of the SE tomorrow morning but go SW by the early afternoon. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... Med confidence wind direction. High confidence remaining elements. NListemaa && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 26 55 29 58 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 29 53 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 23 49 24 54 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 24 53 26 55 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 29 56 31 60 / 0 0 0 10 Gainesville 27 52 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 26 57 30 60 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 22 53 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 25 54 27 57 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 30 60 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...NListemaa LONG TERM....SM AVIATION...NListemaa