063
FXUS62 KFFC 030837
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
437 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025



...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 334 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Current radar loop shows scattered showers across north and
central GA. We are still mainly under the influence of the wedge
of high pressure that continues to build SW down the eastern
seaboard. This wedge is keeping things very stable across the CWA
as we have not seen much in the way of thunder this morning. It
appears this wedge has built in fairly deep into the state as we
are seeing east winds as far south as Albany (ABY) in SW GA. This
wedge is expected to dominate the weather pattern into the long
term forecast periods keeping north and central GA in a
moist/stable environment. Outside of the wedge a stationary front
has set up across south GA and is acting as a catalyst pumping
moisture in across the region. This moisture is almost tropical
like as PWs stay in the 1.5" to 2.5" range through the short term.
Current QPF amounts are 1-2 inches Today, Monday, and again Tue.
This would give us a 3 day total of 2-4 inches with isolated
higher amounts. This would also put the higher amounts across
central GA being in closer proximity to the stationary frontal
boundary. WPC has placed the majority of our CWA under a Marginal
risk of flooding with our last row of counties in a slight risk.
We are under another Marginal Risk for the entire state Monday.
Temps will continue to fall with highs Today and Monday mainly in
the 60s and 70s with some lower 80s across our southern CWA.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 334 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Key Messages:

 - Wet and unsettled weather with daily showers and storms this
week, likely leading to flooding issues.

 - Cooler than normal temperatures during the upcoming week,
returning to around normal by the weekend.

The primary concern throughout the long term period will be
flooding, as multiple days of rainfall result in saturated soils
and rising rivers, creeks, and streams. This is being driven by
the combination of mid-level troughing over the Southeast US,
surface high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic, and a frontal
boundary stalled over southern GA. The resulting setup is
persistent northeast/easterly surface flow with a wedge of cooler
air, while warm and moist air is riding overtop of the wedge
within low to mid-level south-southwest flow. PWAT values through
mid week will generally be around 2-2.2", with forcing from the
frontal boundary and mid-level trough supporting widespread
showers and thunderstorms each day. The days with highest
coverage, and therefore highest flooding threat, look to be
Tuesday and Wednesday as a stout mid-level shortwave within the
broad troughing drops into the Lower Mississippi Valley. During
this period, both flash flooding and river flooding will be a
concern, especially given the wet conditions leading up to it. On
Thursday and Friday, the trough axis looks to gradually shift
east over the state, resulting in a drier airmass moving in with
shower and thunderstorm chances returning to around normal for
this time of year. Overall, temperatures across the area will be
much cooler than normal through mid-week due to the combination
of the wedge, cloud cover, and rainfall. Temperatures start to
trend warmer, back to near normal, from late week into next
weekend.

Culver

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 149 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Scattered showers across the area so could see some precip over
the next few hours at the ATL area TAF sites. Mainly just some
light rain or drizzle but expecting these showers to slowly
diminish through sunrise. will see more precip this afternoon but
mainly across the CSG/MCN areas. Ceilings will stay on the MVFR
to IFR range through the period with east winds in the 6-12kt
range. VSBYS will be mainly in the VFR range but will see some
MVFR VSBYs in and around showers.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Confidence medium to high on all elements

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  64  74  63 /  70  30  50  60
Atlanta         74  65  73  66 /  60  30  50  70
Blairsville     71  59  73  60 /  70  30  30  60
Cartersville    76  65  76  65 /  60  20  40  60
Columbus        81  68  78  69 /  70  60  80  70
Gainesville     74  64  73  65 /  60  30  40  60
Macon           76  67  77  67 /  70  50  80  70
Rome            77  65  78  65 /  60  20  30  50
Peachtree City  74  64  73  64 /  60  40  60  70
Vidalia         79  69  80  69 /  80  60  80  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...01