000
FXUS62 KFFC 231542
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1042 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2025

...Midday Update...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1035 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2025

The forecast remains on track. High clouds will continue to
increase through the afternoon as a coastal low tracks eastward
along the northern Gulf coast. Minor updates were made to
temperature and dewpoint trends through the afternoon.

RW

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 350 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2025

Weakening high pressure over the state will keep things dry during
the day with increasing clouds this afternoon and rain moving in
Tonight.

Current satellite loop shows some mid to high level clouds streaming
across the area this morning. These clouds will diminish leaving
mostly clear skies by daybreak. High pressure centered over N
GA/Eastern TN will continue to weaken and push east into the
Carolinas Today. At the same time a developing  wave just of the TX
Gulf coast will also move east becoming centered just off the AL/FL
Gulf coast by 00z Mon. This wave/developing Low pressure center will
push rain into West Central GA late this evening and continue to
move across the state through Monday morning/early afternoon. The
main low pressure center stays over the Gulf then crosses Central FL
Monday afternoon/evening. With the low center staying south of the
area we are only expecting rain across central and south GA mainly
south of a Lagrange to Augusta line. Some isolated showers may get
as far north as Atlanta but that would be mainly Tonight.
Precipitation chances continue across central GA Monday morning into
the early afternoon hours but the rain will be moving south and east
with the track of the main low center. Instability indices stay low
across central GA as the deepest moisture and best Capes/Shear/and
LIs stay south, close to the low center over the Gulf. We are only
expecting rain with this system...No thunder.

Looks like this morning will be the last morning with all of North
and Central GA at or below freezing. Temps across the area will
climb into the 50s and 60s today with lows Tonight in the 30s and
40s. We will see some lower 30s and upper 20s across the N GA
mountains. Temps get back up into the 60s area wide Monday.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 350 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2025

As the low currently over the northern gulf exits to our east,
the area will be under a more northwesterly flow pattern through
Wednesday with high pressure looking to setup over the northeast
portions of the state Tuesday into Wednesday for a short amount of
time ahead of the next approaching system. Max temps by Wednesday
will have quickly warmed up into the low 70s for much of the area
with dewpoints in the 40s.

Looking towards the later half of the long term period, a trough
over the middle plains is expected to shift southeastward into
the area bringing an associated sfc cold front through the area
into Thursday morning. At this time CAPE looks marginal and the
forcing looks likely to be well north of the area with the
attendant surface low over Kentucky/Virginia. Expecting mainly a
rain event with this frontal passage with the chance for a few
thunderstorms. With the quick nature of this front and it being
well away from the area of energy, precip chances do remain at
~30% through Thursday and QPF values are under a tenth of an
inch. Current NBM 90th percentile puts us at up to a half inch
over the northern areas but the 10th and even 40th percentile show
no accumulations.

After the trough swings eastward into the Atlantic, high pressure
will begin settling into the area through the weekend into early
next week resulting in temps ~5 degrees above normal in the upper
60s to low 70s for highs and 40s for lows.

43

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2025

VFR conditions expected today with rain moving in Tonight mainly
across Central GA. Mostly clear skies Today with NW winds in the
3-7kt range. Will see increased Mid to High clouds this
afternoon/evening with precip pushing into west central GA around
00z. CSG and MCN will be most affected by the rain with MVFR
ceilings and VSBYs expected after 00z. The ATL area TAF sites may
see a brief period of rain with the best chances between 07z-11z.
Not expecting any MVFR ceilings or VSBYs in the ATL or AHN areas.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          58  35  62  38 /   0  20  10   0
Atlanta         55  38  61  41 /   0  30  10   0
Blairsville     53  29  61  35 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    54  32  62  37 /   0  20   0   0
Columbus        59  43  63  42 /  20  70  20   0
Gainesville     56  35  61  39 /   0  10   0   0
Macon           59  41  62  41 /   0  60  30  10
Rome            55  31  63  36 /   0  10   0   0
Peachtree City  56  37  62  39 /   0  40  10   0
Vidalia         64  46  61  44 /   0  50  40  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...01