724
FXUS62 KFFC 091931
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
231 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 229 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

 - Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible today in
   portions of east central Georgia. Primary threat will be
   damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph.

 - Freeze Warning is in effect for early Monday morning for
   portions of western and northern Georgia.

 - A hard freeze is expected Monday night into Tuesday morning
   across most all of north and central Georgia. A Freeze Watch is
   in effect.

 - Flurries are possible in the north Georgia mountains overnight
   Sunday into early Monday morning. A second shot of flurries is
   possible Monday evening in the same area. No impacts expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 229 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

An active short term period is in store as the frontal system
continues to push southward across the forecast area. Starting off
with this afternoon/evening with the severe threat. Areas of
southeastern central Georgia have had ample time for heating today
with dewpoints in the low 60s and temps in the upper 70s to low
80s, allowing for there to be enough instability to result in
thunderstorm development. CAMs are showing clusters of showers
over this area with isolated strong to severe thunderstorms.
Nothing has really changed when it comes to the main threats being
wind gusts up to 60 mph. With lapse rates overall not impressive,
hail likely won`t be too much of a concern but can`t rule out
small hail.

Pushing into the overnight, the cold air begins pushing into the
area with some moisture associated with the sfc low as it tracks
closer. As a result flurries/snow showers are possible in the
higher elevations where the temps are more likely to line up with
the moisture areas. Getting into tomorrow, CAMs have been a bit
more bullish of flurry potential as the sfc low approaches just
shy of north Georgia which could enhance the ability for flurries
to reach further than the higher elevations. There still remains
uncertainty on if enough moisture can be squeezed out to see
anything other than in the mountains but soundings have been
leaning towards more moisture than this time yesterday over far
north Georgia. Don`t be surprised if you see very light flurries
reaching past the north Georgia mountains, but overall still no
impacts are to be expected.

The bigger story remains the coldest air of the season pushing
into the area. A freeze warning has been issued for overnight
tonight into tomorrow morning for the northern portions of the
area where temps will reach into the upper 20s to low 30s.
Daytime highs tomorrow top out at 20-25 degrees below normal in
the mid 30s to low 40s over much of the area (mountains don`t look
to get above freezing). Pushing into Monday night into Tuesday
morning a freeze watch has been issued for the entirety of north
and central Georgia where temps are expected to reach into the
20-27 degree range with teens possible in the mountains. This is
considered a hard freeze and thus will kill of any unprotected
vegetation, ending the growing season. Did also keep with the
trend of the past couple of shifts with blending in higher winds
as the pressure gradient doesn`t look to let up through Monday
night. Winds will be borderline wind advisory criteria but should
stay just shy of 35mph. Gusts from 25-30mph are expected across
the area with of course higher in the mountains. This along with
temperatures will result in apparent Ts in the teens across much
of the area (single digits possible in the mountains).


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 229 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Dry air filters in behind Monday`s front, and we`ll slowly see a
steady rise in temperatures. Especially in afternoon high temps
which are expected to fight their way back up into the low 70s by
the end of the work week. Overnight lows are expected to remain
close to freezing until Wednesday before steadily rising as the
upper level flow becomes more zonal and we get a slight increase in
moisture.

Other than that, the weather becomes pretty benign again. Models are
conflicted about the timing and possibility of a front that may
bring another shot of rain and a few thunderstorms next weekend, but
expect dry and pleasant conditions through the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

Clouds are scattering out as the front progresses southward.
Should see winds from the WNW to NW through the TAF period with
gusts at 25-30kt. Could see some low end VFR clouds (3500ft)
filter in from the north tomorrow morning but expecting skies to
be mainly scattered at ~10kft through the TAF period.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on low-end VFR tomorrow morning.
High on all other elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          33  41  26  48 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         32  40  27  49 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     23  32  20  43 /  20  20  20   0
Cartersville    28  40  23  49 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        36  47  26  53 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     32  39  27  46 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           36  47  26  52 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            31  43  26  52 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  31  42  23  50 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         40  52  28  52 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Monday for GAZ001>009-
011>016-019>025-030>037-041>049-052>057-066>068.

Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Hernandez