273
FXUS62 KFFC 040625 AAA
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
225 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025

...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

At a glance:

- Another gorgeous afternoon expected.

- Tropical moisture tomorrow will gradually increase the chance
  for showers and thunderstorms across the south and central part
  of the CWA.

Dry and pleasant conditions continue through the rest of the
afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Mostly clear skies
are expected with a few clouds here and there to provide some
shade. Overnight lows will also be pleasant as temps drop into the
mid to upper 60s.

A tropical low along the Atlantic coast will slowly come on shore
tomorrow bringing rain and a few isolated thunderstorms to areas
of central and southern Georgia. Severe weather is not anticipated
and rainfall totals look to range from an inch to less than a
tenth of an inch across the metro area. It will bring a change of
airmass with it resulting in more active humid weather as we move
into the long term.

Vaughn


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Highlights:

- Unsettled weather Thursday through early next week --
  monitoring severe storm potential over the weekend

- Near normal temperatures expected over the next 5 to 7 days

Unsettled weather will be the theme for the long term forecast as
moisture returns and sticks around across the region. At the
start of the long term period (Thursday), a surface low will be
migrating up along the GA/SC coast bringing rain and thunder
chances primarily to our far southeast and east-central counties
on Thursday. Additionally, the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
maintains a low (10%) chance that this area of low pressure
develops into a tropical system in the next 5-7 days. This low is
forecast to track up the NC coast or be more off the Atlantic
Coast by Friday. Any remnant boundaries that remain may provide
support isolated activity Friday afternoon for our southern
counties and widely scattered diurnal convection elsewhere.
Attention then turns towards the Mid-MS Valley and TN Valley
Regions as we head into the weekend. A frontal boundary will
slowly sag southwards towards the southeast on Friday, enter our
area by Saturday and persisting through the weekend. With no
changes to the warm and moist airmass that will be in place over
the southeast, more scattered to widespread rain and thunder
chances are expected to continue through the weekend. One thing
that we will continue to monitor will be severe potential. With
several disturbances forecast to pass through the upper level flow
interacting with the frontal boundary could result in enhanced
storm coverage/intensity. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC)
maintains a Day 4 and 5 (though will soon be Days 3 and 4) 15%
severe risk area for areas just to our west -- including parts of
Ms and AL to account for this potential. At this time, no
widespread severe weather is currently forecast but certainly
something to monitor going forward. Additionally, with PWs on the
order of 1.5 to 2 inches, locally heavy rainfall will also be
possible.

Forecast temperatures through the long term will hover right
around normal (or 3 to 7 degrees -/+ from normal). Forecast high
temperatures will start off in the mid 80s (Thursday) climbing to
the upper 80s to low 90s (especially over Central GA) Friday
through the weekend. Overnight lows will remain fairly mild with
forecast values ranging from the 60s to low 70s.

07


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 212 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025

VFR conditions will continue for the remainder of the overnight
period, but cloud bases will gradually lower from southeast to
northwest from ~10z to ~16z. Expecting ATL to drop to MVFR ~15z
with VCSH possible. Prevailing -SHRA are currently forecast
starting at 18z with SCT MVFR clouds and low-VFR cigs. Maintaining
the previous shift`s PROB30 for TSRA in the afternoon and evening
at all sites. MVFR cigs are expected to persist into Wednesday
night, but there is uncertainty regarding northward-advancing IFR
cigs making it to ATL and the other metro sites.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium to high confidence on all elements.

Martin


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          80  65  81  64 /  50  30  50  10
Atlanta         81  67  84  68 /  60  30  50  10
Blairsville     79  59  80  61 /  40  30  60  10
Cartersville    84  65  85  66 /  50  30  40  10
Columbus        83  68  86  69 /  70  40  60  10
Gainesville     80  65  82  65 /  50  30  50  10
Macon           80  67  84  67 /  70  60  70  20
Rome            85  66  86  67 /  50  20  40  10
Peachtree City  81  65  84  66 /  70  30  50  10
Vidalia         80  69  84  69 /  70  60  90  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Martin