924
FXUS62 KFFC 092352
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
752 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025



...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 742 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

    - Breezy and mild weather will persist on Friday.

    - A dry weather pattern will linger through next week, and
      combine with warming temperatures to favor continued or
      worsening drought conditions.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 742 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

This Evening & Tonight:

A upper level shortwave sliding from northern Alabama into Georgia
will combine with diurnal heating to generate a few showers over
northwest Georgia through 11 PM today. Dry conditions, with surface
dewpoints in the low 50s, will ensure that any shower activity is
elevated (not surface based). Meanwhile limited (< 500 J/kg) and
narrow CAPE profiles will greatly hinder the potential for lightning
with any convection. Isolated wind gusts near 35 mph could occur due
to evaporative cooling as precipitation falls into a dry boundary
layer. Severe weather is not anticipated.

As the shortwave continues towards the southeast overnight it may
will interact with a developing low along the Florida Coast, leading
to isolated showers in central Georgia. Any rainfall should largely
occur south of Macon and be spotty in nature. Significant wetting
rainfall is not expected.

Overnight low temperatures will dip into the 40s in the mountains,
and 50s across the rest of the state.

Thursday:

High pressure over the Northeast will continue to produce wedging in
the lee of the Appalachians. For Georgia this setup will lead to
continued northeast winds and dry conditions. Wind gusts in the 20
to 25 mph range are expected between 9 AM and 3 PM on Friday as a
well mixed boundary layer brings mid level winds to the surface.
Some edits were made to the forecast to account for the NBM`s high
relative humidity bias on days with strong boundary layer mixing and
low surface dewpoints. For these edits we used the NBM 10th
percentile, which lowered afternoon relative humidity values down to
around 40% (well above thresholds for fire weather concerns of 25%).
Friday should be the coolest day of the week with CAA limiting
afternoon high temperatures to the low 70s for most areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 742 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Any meaningful rainfall across North and Central GA appears unlikely
over the next 7 days. Mid to upper troughing will still be present
over the Southeast though hugging the coastline at the start of the
period. As this feature shifts eastward, broad ridging will take up
residence across much of the Central US and stick around through at
least mid-week next week. The strengthening of this feature will
lead to a gradual rise in daytime temperatures each day. Daytime
highs will start off in the mid 70s on Saturday warming to the mid
80s Monday through Wednesday. Expect temperatures to be 5-10 degrees
cooler in the northeast GA mountains. Overnight temperatures will
follow suit, starting off in the upper 40s to low 50s rising to the
60s next week.

The latest 6-10 day precipitation outlook (valid October 14-18)
indicates a medium probability (roughly ~40-60% chance) that
observed precipitation will be well below normal for North and
Central Georgia. Areas of D2 Drought (or Severe Drought) were
expanded across portions of west-central Georgia with the latest
Drought Monitor.  Given the lack of rainfall in the forecast,
drought conditions are likely to remain the same or worsen.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 742 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Some isolated showers around the ATL area TAF sites, but thinking
these showers will diminish over the next few hours. VFR ceilings
in the 3500ft to 6000ft range will lift and clear out slowly
through Friday afternoon. East to NE winds will stay in the 7-10kt
range over night then increase into the 10-15kt range Friday with
gust to 25kt by Friday afternoon. Winds will diminish to 10kt or
less shortly after sunset Fri. No restrictions to VSBYs expected.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          52  69  53  74 /   0   0  10   0
Atlanta         55  72  56  77 /  20   0   0   0
Blairsville     47  69  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    55  74  52  77 /  20   0   0   0
Columbus        58  75  58  79 /  10  10   0   0
Gainesville     53  70  54  75 /  10   0   0   0
Macon           56  71  56  77 /  10  10  10  10
Rome            55  77  52  79 /  20   0   0   0
Peachtree City  54  72  54  77 /  20   0   0   0
Vidalia         58  72  59  77 /  40  30  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Albright
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...01