Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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813 FXUS62 KFFC 281049 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 649 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026 ...New 12Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... - A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of east-central Georgia from 12 PM to 8 PM this afternoon. - Heat will build this weekend into next week, with afternoon highs climbing into the 90s and heat index values over 100 for much of the week. - Chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected in far north Georgia this afternoon and in east Georgia on Monday. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon through the week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 302 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026 An upper level ridge currently centered over the Mississippi River Valley will amplify and continue eastward today, setting up over the eastern CONUS through the remainder of the short term period. As the ridge builds, temperatures will continue to climb across the area. Low temperatures this morning will begin in the low to mid 70s across the majority of north and central Georgia. With persistent southwesterly low level flow and deep Gulf moisture in place, these lows will closely reflect dewpoints. High temperatures this afternoon will rise into the low 90s in northwest Georgia and 80s in the mountains and will rise into the mid 90s elsewhere across the area. The combination of these temperatures and dewpoints will cause dewpoints to rise into the upper 90s to mid 100s in the peak heating hours. A Heat Advisory has been issued in portions of east-central Georgia this afternoon from 12 PM to 8 PM this evening. Here, heat indices are most likely to reach 105 degrees this afternoon. Those planning to spend time outdoors should drink plenty of fluids and take plenty of breaks in the shade and air-conditioning. Diurnally-driven convection is expected across far north Georgia this afternoon, with chances of 10% chances or less to the south of I-20. As a weakening shortwave continues traverses the eastern periphery of the ridge and towards South Carolina, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will spread across eastern Georgia overnight. Temperatures will be warmer still on Monday, which will lead to heat index values in the mid 100s in north Georgia (with the exception of the mountains) and upper 100s in central Georgia. Another Heat Advisory is expected on Monday, this time across the majority of the forecast area. Sporadic relief from the heat could come in the form of scattered afternoon thunderstorms, most likely across the eastern half of the area on Sunday afternoon. With strong instability, storms that develop will be capable of producing frequent lightning, heavy rain, and gusty winds. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 302 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026 Upper ridging will build over the eastern US through much of the week, with the center of the ridge expected to migrate from the lower MS valley early in the week into the Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic by the end of the week. With the ridge in close proximity, hot temperatures will persist over the region through the period, with highs in the mid to upper 90s for most areas outside the higher terrain of northeast GA. Combined with increasing humidity, heat index values over 100 will be common most afternoons, with values over 105 degrees possible in some areas. These temperatures will lead to increased risk for heat illness for those spending extended periods outdoors, with lows in the mid to upper 70s offering little overnight relief. The close proximity of the upper ridge will likely act to suppress convection most afternoons, but can`t completely rule out a few storms through the week given high levels of moisture and instability. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 646 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026 VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period. A scattered cu field between 035-050 is expected to develop once again by 15Z and persist through the afternoon. Scattered SHRA/TSRA is forecast across the far north and northeast GA, but chances are currently too low for mention in the TAFs at the ATL sites. Storms may make it as far southeast as AHN in the early evening, warranting a PROB30 for TSRA from 22-01Z. Winds will be SW at 3-6 kts to start the period, becoming W at 8-12 kts by 15Z and through the afternoon. Gusts of up to 20 kts are also forecast at the northern TAF sites during the afternoon. //ATL Confidence...12Z Update... High confidence on all elements. King && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 94 76 96 76 / 20 20 20 10 Atlanta 94 77 96 78 / 10 10 20 10 Blairsville 84 69 88 70 / 50 20 30 10 Cartersville 92 75 95 77 / 20 10 10 0 Columbus 95 75 97 77 / 0 0 10 10 Gainesville 91 74 93 75 / 20 10 30 10 Macon 95 77 96 77 / 10 10 30 20 Rome 92 75 95 76 / 20 10 10 0 Peachtree City 93 75 96 77 / 10 10 20 10 Vidalia 97 78 97 77 / 0 20 40 20 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ049-050-059>061-071>074-080>086-093>098-105>113. && $$ SHORT TERM...King LONG TERM....Ware AVIATION...King