061
FXUS62 KFFC 292335
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
735 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026


...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Scattered thunderstorms are expected today followed by isolated
   storms on Sunday. A few strong storms capable of producing
   gusty winds will be possible.

 - Locally heavy rainfall from stronger storms may lead to
   isolated instances of flash flooding.

 - Heat will build through the work week with triple digit heat
   indices returning to much of Georgia.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 230 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026

A stalled frontal boundary remains situated over the central Georgia
region that has kept many locations under a lower cloud field
through the morning. This field has been slow to mix out through the
afternoon. With the abundant clouds, expect high temperatures to top
out in the mid to upper 80s with gradual warming through the short-
term period. Scattered diurnally-driven thunderstorms are expected
to continue to develop this afternoon, but coverage will likely
be slightly reduced from yesterday due to ongoing cloud cover and
drier mid to upper level air working into our CWA. While organized
severe weather is not expected today, a few stronger storms will
be possible given ample SBCAPE areawide and a tight DCAPE gradient
with values ~1200 J/kg over north-northwest Georgia.
Additionally, storms that do form will have heavy rainfall
potential due to weak steering flow and a favorable low level
moisture profile with PWATs in the 1.5-2.0 inch range. The main
threat from these storms will be gusty microburst winds, frequent
lightning, and heavy rainfall.

As the upper level trough continues to lift northward, our area is
coming under greater influence of a broad upper-level ridge
currently anchored over the Southern Plains. This ridge will
continue to build eastward, reducing cloud cover and gradually
increasing our high temperatures over the coming days with Sunday
being slightly warmer and drier than today. We can also expect
diurnal convection to become less prominent in the week ahead.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 230 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026

The foremost headline of the coming week will be the building heat
as an expansive upper ridge envelops the Southeast. Temperatures
will creep upward a degree or two from Monday-Wednesday with highs
in the mid 90s commonplace by midweek. Maximum heat index values
will rise hand-in-hand, likely in the 100-105 range for most areas
outside of the mountains. In any event, there are no hopes for
noticeably cooler air in the near future for those looking for any
signs of an end to summer.

As far as rain chances are concerned, PoPs will generally be
trending downward as the ridge expands eastward, likely on the order
of isolated coverage at best through midweek. With that said,
slightly higher coverage of diurnal convection is possible along the
southern tier as deeper moisture characterized by PWATS 2+" advects
westward within the easterly flow beneath the core of the ridge to
the north.

The forecast by the end of the week will then depend to
some degree on the track/evolution of the remnant wave of former
Tropical Storm Dolly as it pushes westward toward Florida and
potentially the Gulf. Ensemble spread (and therefore forecast
uncertainty) is high at this extended time frame regarding track or
any further development; however, we`ll continue to monitor for any
potential outcome that could increase moisture and rainfall coverage
by the end of forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 732 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026

Primarily VFR conds during the afternoon and evening, with FEW-SCT
cu at 2.5-5kft. BKN IFR cigs psbl between 09-15Z, with low-end chc
for LIFR/TWRINC. Low cigs may be accompanied by MVFR vsbys in BR.
Winds initially ESE at 4-7kts will go largely CALM/VRB overnight
before picking back up out of the E/ESE aft 15Z. Isold TSRA
passing over northern terminals cannot be ruled out thru 03Z.
Chcs for aftn TSRA currently too low for TAF mention, but nonzero
(<10%).

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Medium confidence morning ceiling progression.
High confidence all other elements.

96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  91  70  93 /  10  10  10  10
Atlanta         72  90  73  93 /   0  10  10  10
Blairsville     65  85  65  87 /  10  10   0  20
Cartersville    71  92  71  94 /   0  10   0  10
Columbus        72  93  74  94 /  10  10  10  20
Gainesville     69  88  70  91 /  10  10  10  10
Macon           70  91  72  93 /  10  10  10  20
Rome            70  91  70  93 /   0   0   0  10
Peachtree City  69  91  71  93 /   0  10  10  10
Vidalia         72  90  73  92 /  10  30  10  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...82
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...96